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Friday, September 28, 2012
User:
jsorrell
Date: 9/26/2012 12:00 pm
Views: 499
Rating: -2
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Red Mile Race Reviews
Friday, September 28th
Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt
Race 1 Selections 4-7-10-1
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1
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Bull Spreader
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Trotted evenly to pick up a
decent 3rd place check in the $70k Am Natl last time in
Chi-town. Lands on the pole here in
what should be a softer spot. Appears
to be one of many with a shot. Pierce
opted here over #3.
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2
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Maxaman
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Still winless in 21 career
tries, and has regressed back into some bad habits recently. I’ll watch this one.
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3
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Kacy’s Photo
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Held her own for the most part
against similar company here this season, and actually lands in what appears
to be a fairly comfortable spot tonight.
Her very best could put her in the mix. Pierce opted to #1 instead.
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4
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Marvenue
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Trotted evenly against a
solid crew the first time we saw him locally, and followed it up with an
untimely break in his 2nd local try. Yet to hit the board in 7 tries, but this
is probably the easiest spot he’s landed in thus far.
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5
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Shiner Hanover
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Doesn’t appear to pack the
speed to hang with these just yet.
Pass.
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6
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Blueridge Classic
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Appears overmatched against
these. Pass.
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7
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Sweet Ben
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Lightly raced 3yo was in
extremely tough here in the KYSS, and I must admit that I was fairly
impressed the way he grinded first over last time in Delaware.
Should continue to improve here in his 5th LT try.
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8
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Follow My Dreams
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Trotted evenly here all
season against similar fields, but would likely need to find a lot more
stamina to contend for any of the major awards.
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9
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Zoli
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Has some ability when he
decides to mind his manners, but that has only been on the rare occasion at
least until this point. Likely a
conservative steer coming from his trainer from post 9. I’ll watch this one.
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10
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Kijafa
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Picked up a couple of decent
checks against KYSS company locally, and I do think she can go with these if
DM can find a way to work her into the race.
I’ll try her underneath.
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Race 2 Selections 3-6-2-5
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1
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Longwell
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Appeared to be hopelessly
locked in on the rail last time in $76k Chi-town stake, but actually skimmed
the pylons to surge past for his first career win. All that said, this is a MUCH tougher
crew. Will need even more improvement. Lachance opted to #2 instead.
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2
|
Here’s Johnny
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($127k HB yearling) I was
very impressed with his last 2 local efforts in the KYSS, even picking up a
solid 3rd behind #3 in the $250k Final. Should continue to improve, but this is no
easy spot. Lachance opted over
#1.
|
|
3
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Mystical Dew
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($20k Lex yearling) Used
hard with 2 moves in the $250k KYSS Final, and still drew away to an easy
score down the lane. Facing a nice
group of colts here, and looking to make it a perfect 5 for 5 thus far.
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4
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San Donato
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($50k HB yearling) A couple
of solid local tries in the Kindergarten, but appears to be stepping up to
take on some major league rivals tonight.
Will need even more to hang with the top ones in here.
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5
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Pine Credit
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($19k Lex yearling) Dug in
gamely down the lane to hold off the fav last time, and it’s hard to knock a
colt who has won his last 4 starts.
Facing a tough challenge here, but he’s razor sharp right now! Maybe.
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6
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Major Athens
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Very talented freshman
already with a quarter of a million in the bank. He actually went off as the fav back in
August in the $387k Haughton against the best of the best. Will need his very best against these
though.
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7
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Bizzaro Lindy
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($30k Lex yearling) Towed
into it perfectly 2nd over last time, and trotted evenly down the
lane to finish up 4th behind #5.
Picks up the services of TT, but will still need to pick it up a bit
to hang with these.
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8
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Il Pizzaiolo
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($85k Lex yearling) Yet to
display the type of speed that his mother or father had, doesn’t appear ready
for these just yet.
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9
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Vibe Blue Chip
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($15k HB yearling) Has held
his own on the tough PASS circuit this season, but was handily defeated by #6
each time they have hooked up thus far.
Has his work cut out from way out here.
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Race 3 Selections 4-5-8-3
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1
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Miss Madi M
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($9k Lex yearling) Wire to
wire winner in $54k Delaware
stake last time in a national season’s mark for a 2yof on a ½ mile
track. Should sit close from the pole,
but taking on some of the best around tonight. Your call.
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2
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Antigua Hanover
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($70k Lex yearling) Appears
to be just a notch or two below the top fillies in PA this year, and it
doesn’t appear that things are going to get any easier against some of the
top ones in the country here.
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3
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Donna Lee
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($25k HB yearling – highest
RA sold in ’11) Has hit the board in 7 of 8 starts on the season, but was
soundly defeated by #4 in $131k stake the only night she finished out. Appears to have a shot at the minor
awards.
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4
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I Luv the Nitelife
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($60k Lex yearling) Has been
ultra consistent in banking nearly half a million thus far in her brief
career, and appears to have landed in a fairly comfortable spot for her local
debut. Lots to like.
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5
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Parlee Beach
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($80k Lex yearling) Arrives
sporting a nice freshman resume, including a win over #4 in $49k stake back
on 8-2 at Mohawk. Appears to be the
main threat to the fav in here as well.
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6
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Art Ideal
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($24k HB yearling) I
actually love her career debut on paper, passing some horses late into a fast
back half after sitting last in stakes company at Yonkers.
However, it’s asking a lot to go with these in only her 2nd
LT try.
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7
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Belle Boyd
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($90k Lex yearling) Hasn’t
been anywhere close to #4 in their prior meetings in Canadian stakes, and
appears to only have a shot at the minor awards once again tonight. Jody J opted to #8 instead.
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8
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Mattie Terror Girl
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($150k Lex yearling –
highest WT filly sold in ’11) Yet another that hasn’t been able to knock off
#4 in stakes tries in Canada,
but appears to fit with the remainder of this crew in contention for the
lesser awards.
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9
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Canary Island
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($42k HB yearling) You can
throw out that last start at Delaware
where #1 beat her as the fav, because she was very rough gaited in the 3rd
turn and had to be checked up severely.
Should improve with the stretch back out to the big track, but it
won’t be easy from the outside against this crew. Jody J opted to #8 instead.
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Race 4 Selections 3-8-5-7
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1
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My Ghost Bi
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Couldn’t fend off his rivals
as the heavy fav in LC at Delaware
last time, and it doesn’t appear that things are going to get any easier
against this crew.
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2
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Scottish Blue
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($9k Lex yearling) Picked up
some checks against stakes company in Ontario,
but has yet to show the type of stamina that would be needed to hang around
late with this crew.
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3
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Raven Victory
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($35k HB yearling) I must
admit that I am a big fan of this guy, coming from a nearly impossible spot
to remain undefeated last time. No
question he will have to find a bit more speed, but I think there is plenty
in the tank.
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4
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March Awareness
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Not quite sure what to
expect here, as this guy got away poorly from the rail here in his career
debut only to motor by the field down the lane en route to a big upset. Followed that up with a break in OH. Your call.
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5
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Kegler Hanover
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($120k HB yearling – highest
Crazed sold in ’11) A solid 2nd in his only local start, and he
was wore down in there by a decent colt.
Likely to get a nice trip in here behind #8. Maybe.
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6
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Cowling Park
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Has trotted evenly in local
overnights thus far, but appears to be facing a far tougher group in LC
action tonight. I’ll wait for a better
spot.
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7
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Lauderdale
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($80k HB yearling) Has had
some breaking problems thus far, but appeared to solve that by adding hobbles
here in the AM in blowout Q’fer. Any
improvement puts him in the mix.
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8
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Sir James
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Dominated a crew of
youngsters last time in Indy overnight, and will likely be blasting to the
top once again tonight. Catch him if
you can.
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Race 5 Selections 3-4-2-1
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1
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Bullish
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($42k HB yearling) Didn’t
get clearance until finally fanning out 4 wide down the lane last time, and I
believe he would have trotted by his rivals if out earlier. Should sit close from the pole, will need
his very best against these.
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2
|
All Laid Out
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($32k Lex yearling) Not sure
what happened last time as he broke right at the start, but was VERY good in
the start prior where he didn’t get out until very late or he would have won
by an even larger margin. Has some
talent.
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3
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Fashion Blizzard
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Yet to miss the board in
banking a quarter of a million dollars on the tough NYSS circuit, digging in
gamely down the lane to fend off his main rival in the $225k Final last
time. Appears to be the one to
beat.
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4
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Jacks to Open
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($55k HB yearling) Wow! Where did that last mile come from? Parked past the half and still romped home
to an easy win at 25-1! Won’t get anywhere
near that price here, but a similar effort should put him close.
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5
|
Max Andover
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Trotted evenly against some
nice colts since arriving locally, but appears to be facing an even tougher
crew here and would have to find a lot more still.
|
|
6
|
My Man Can
|
($32k Lex yearling) Has held
his own against some solid stakes company thus far in his brief career, and
appears to pack plenty of early speed if AM elects to step on the gas. He fits with these.
|
|
7
|
Crazed N Lindy
|
($35k Lex yearling) Parked
every step in $76k Chicago
stake last time, yet still fought willingly down the lane to finish up a
close 3rd. Appears to be
facing a much tougher group here though, needs even more.
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|
8
|
Cashco
|
($62k HB yearling) Aggressively
handled in his only local try 2 starts back, and that ended up taking its toll
late as he tired to finish 4th.
Lands in another solid group here, I’ll wait for a better spot.
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|
9
|
Arctic Tale
|
($47k HB yearling) Got off
to a nice start to his career earlier this summer, but appears to have
potentially tailed off a bit over the last several weeks. Lands on the outside in a tough spot
tonight as well, not a great recipe.
|
Race 6 Selections 6-8-3-2 Start of $10,000 Pick 4 See Ticket at the end
|
1
|
Want Answers
|
Yet to miss the board in 8
career tries, including 4 consecutive victories against mid-level stakes
company in PA. Taking a step up to the
major leagues here though, needs her absolute very best. Gingras opted to #7 instead.
|
|
2
|
UF Dragon’s Queen
|
($50k HB yearling) Has been
holding her own against some ultra tough company on the PASS circuit this
season, and her best effort should put her in play against this crew as
well.
|
|
3
|
Ritascape
|
($12k HB yearling) Had been
on an impressive run before tiring down the lane last time after being used
hard early at Vernon. Should be able to work out a smoother
journey here, still needs her very best punch.
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|
4
|
Novascotia Hanover
|
($21k HB yearling) Couldn’t
get by #1 last time after having a perfect trip on her back, but does appear
to pack some speed when she keeps her mind on business. Your call.
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5
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Mistressto thestars
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($25k HB yearling) Added
lasix last time in Indy stake, but that still didn’t help the breaking
problems she has encountered recently.
I’ll wait until we see some improvement. Gingras opted to #7 instead.
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6
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Authorize
|
NJSS Champ has been an
authority thus far in her brief career, but I must admit that she didn’t race
as well as I expected her to last time in Indy. Some horses just don’t get over that track
well, I’ll give another try.
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|
7
|
Live Entertainment
|
Perfect trip last time in
$118k stake in Indy, but was unable to get by #6 down the lane after sitting
on her back throughout. Appears to be
improving with each start, but will need even more here. Gingras opted here over #’s 1 & 5.
|
|
8
|
Carols Desire
|
($25k Lex yearling – highest
RD filly sold in ’11) Unleashed a vicious late rally to surge past #6 last
time in Indy stake. I would expect
another off the pace rally here, should be flying late once again.
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|
9
|
Mattwestern
|
($10k Lex yearling) I must
admit that I was very impressed with her lone local start in overnight
company, but she has landed in against some top fillies and slammed with post
9 as well. Tough spot.
|
Race 7 Selections 3-2-4-5
|
1
|
Spider Blue Chip
|
($60k Lex yearling) I can tell
you that you can excuse the break in his first local start here as #5 came
out into him at the head of the lane.
What I can’t tell you is why he made breaks in the other starts. Worth the risk?
|
|
2
|
Creatine
|
Continues to improve with
each and every start, including a couple of very close finishes in 2 local
Kindergarten tries. Lands in what
appears to be a modest division here, I can make a case. Lachance opted here over #9.
|
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3
|
Caveat Emptor
|
($60k Lex yearling) KYSS
runner up has been solid all season, and anything close to his best effort
puts him squarely in the mix against these.
|
|
4
|
Broadway Prince
|
($65k Lex yearling – highest
BH sold in ’11) Trotted home well last time to finish up 3rd
behind a couple of nice colts in Kindergarten action, and might be in line
for another nice trip following #3 in here.
Pierce opted to #8.
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|
5
|
Possessed Fashion
|
($55k HB yearling) Packs
plenty of early speed, but hasn’t been able to seal the deal locally just yet
when put to pressure down the lane. Typically
always hangs on for a piece though.
|
|
6
|
Show Ticket
|
Got down to ¾’s in a
remarkable 1:24 in the local Q’fer, causing him to tire down the lane with a
32 second final panel. Might be hard
to relax him, he likes to make breaks as well. Not sure I can endorse just yet.
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7
|
Odds on Windy City
|
Chi-town invader doesn’t
appear to pack the speed to hang with the top ones in here just yet.
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8
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Tornado
|
($95k Lex yearling) I must
admit that I was a bit disappointed that he could not get by his rival down the
lane here last week, having to settle for 2nd as the 6-5 fav. Things aren’t going to get any easier. Pierce chose over #4
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9
|
Your So Vain
|
($60k HB yearling) Canadian
invader made a break in his only LT start to this point, and I would expect a
conservative steer tonight from off the pace.
I’ll watch one first. Lachance
opted to #2 instead.
|
Race 8 Selections 3-4-5-6
|
1
|
Classical Impact
|
Hasn’t had much success
against overnight company in the midwest thus far, and would take a complete
turnaround to make any type of big impact here. Miller opted here over #5.
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2
|
Dewey Luvs Britt
|
($6k Lex yearling) Just a
notch below his main rivals in the KYSS, but lands in what should be a much
more manageable spot tonight. Still
needs his very best.
|
|
3
|
Etruscan Hanover
|
($65k HB yearling) Romped to
an easy win in his career debut, but has followed that up with back to back
breaks since. Moves into new barn
tonight, picks up the services of Sears as well. I’ll take a shot.
|
|
4
|
Swiss Alps
|
($8k Lex yearling) Wore down
his rival in deep stretch last time to get up for his 1st career
win. Check and see how KH did in race
4 earlier. Should continue to improve,
looks to have landed in a nice spot.
|
|
5
|
Voodoo Victor
|
Appeared to have a little
talent when he first burst onto the scene, but has regressed into a couple of
breaks in his last couple tries. He
can trot with these IF he minds his manners though. Miller opted to #1 instead.
|
|
6
|
Muscle Mountain
|
($27k HB yearling) Added
hobbles in the AM and was forced to chase a runaway on the front end
there. Appeared to solve the breaking
problems for now, one of many with a big shot in here.
|
|
7
|
Risky Business
|
($27k Lex yearling) A lot of
breaking problems thus far in his brief career, I’ll watch closely for any
improvement. Looks like a risky choice
at this point.
|
|
8
|
Sharpshot Hall
|
($33k HB yearling) Hasn’t
been able to hang with the top colts in Kindergarten action, and gets slammed
with an outside post for the 3rd consecutive time. I’ll pass for now.
|
Race 9 Selections 1-4-2-11
|
1
|
Ryder Blue Chip
|
Saved ground to pick up a 5th
place check against some of the top fillies in the country last time at Yonkers in the $225k
NYSS. Taking a substantial plunge in
class here, should be ready to drop and pop!
TT chose over 5 & 6.
|
|
2
|
Cameron Lucky
|
Absolutely annihilated a
field of overnight company last time in Canada, drawing away to win in a
LT best. I would typically hop on
board a mare in career best form, but she’s hooked a couple tough ones
tonight.
|
|
3
|
Real Ravishing
|
Made a break after an
aggressive move to the top in her last try at Philly, but has proven that she
can hold her own against similar company in the starts prior. Not sure she is on the same level as her
stablemates though.
|
|
4
|
If I Didn’t Care
|
Has been holding her own
against some tough older mares at Balmoral, and should find this level much
more to her liking. Appears to be the
main threat to her stablemate, #1.
|
|
5
|
Through My Eyes
|
Has been ok against
overnight company locally, but it would take a lot more to make any major
noise against this crew in big bulky field.
Tetrick opted to #1 instead.
|
|
6
|
Lima Daydream
|
Didn’t fire the only time we
saw her locally this season, and it would take a complete turnaround to hang
with the top ones in here. Tetrick
opted to #1 instead.
|
|
7
|
Odds On Jan
|
Added lasix in the local
Q’fer, but I’m not sure she is ready to go with the top ones in here just
yet.
|
|
8
|
RD Iou
|
Has been dominant on the Iowa fair circuit
recently, but asking quite a bit for her to be able to hang with this
crew. I’ll wait for a better
spot.
|
|
9
|
Hammers Princess
|
No match for Ontario SS
company recently, and faces some tough rivals to the inside. Not sure how I like things set up for her
in here from post 9. Kramer opted to
#2 instead.
|
|
10
|
Park Lane Crystal
|
Has been solid against some
nice fillies here all season, but faces a tough task from post 10 in big
bulky field here. Yet to miss the
board all season, but it won’t be easy to keep that streak in tact.
|
|
11
|
Intelligence
|
Appears to have really
rounded the corner in her last couple at Balmoral, and should be able to get
away close in here from the 2nd tier. Any further improvement should put her in
play for the minor awards. AM opted to
#3.
|
Race 10 Selections 8-4-7-1
|
1
|
Deadliest Catch
|
Rode the pylons to a 4th
place finish in his local debut last time, and I’m assuming he may be a bit
hard to handle with his trainer opting to drive once again. Likely to be in line for a similar journey
here.
|
|
2
|
Hobsons Choice
|
($50k HB yearling) Canadian
invader has been trotting evenly against stakes company, and should sit close
once again from inside post tonight. I
could consider for the minor awards only.
Tetrick opted to #4 instead.
|
|
3
|
Theatrical Session
|
($40k HB yearling) Doesn’t
appear to pack the speed to hang with the top ones in here just yet. I’ll watch for any further
improvement.
|
|
4
|
Punxsutawney
|
($16k HB yearling) Perfect
trip behind #8 last time at The Meadows, but couldn’t get by him down the lane
and had to settle for 2nd.
May be in line for another nice up close journey here. Tetrick opted here over #2.
|
|
5
|
Crazy About Pat
|
Trotted evenly in his only
local start, but would still need to find a lot more to hang with the top
colts here in stakes action.
|
|
6
|
Amalfi Coast
|
Not sure he is ready to hang
with this crew just yet. I’ll pass for
now.
|
|
7
|
Text Winner
|
No match for the runaway
winner last time, but still trotted well to hang on for a decent 3rd
place finish. Not sure he is on the
same level as his PA sired rivals, but certainly has a shot at the minor
awards.
|
|
8
|
Hall of Muscles
|
Blasted straight to the lead
and never looked back to score his first career victory in $41k Keystone
Classic last time over #4. Likely to
be leaving hard once again. Must
respect.
|
|
9
|
Alejandro Hall
|
($9k Lex yearling) Has had
all sorts of trouble recently, hard to endorse against these. Pass.
|
Race 11 Selections 6-2-9-4
|
1
|
Real Mozartist
|
($17k Lex yearling) Made a
break against top stakes company in Indy last time, and hasn’t proven she can
go with the best of the best just yet.
I’ll watch for any further improvement. Gingras opted here over #’s 5 & 8.
|
|
2
|
Exotic Beach
|
($10k HB yearling)
Absolutely flying on the end of it last time to finish up a nice 2nd
in $118k Kentuckiana stake. Appears to
be rounding into form at the right time, I can make a case.
|
|
3
|
Sweet Lady Jane
|
Has put together a solid
campaign primarily against PASS company, but I find it difficult to endorse
her against these if she was unable to fend off maidens at Pocono last time
as the heavy fav.
|
|
4
|
South Pacific
|
($170k Lex yearling –
highest SBSW filly sold in ’11) Speedball has won 3 of 4 thus far against
some tough company in PA, but steps up to take on some major league rivals here. Needs her very best.
|
|
5
|
Our Miss Lily
|
No match for #6 after
sitting on her back last time, hard to see things being any different in
here. Pass. Gingras opted to #1 instead.
|
|
6
|
Nikki Beach
|
($90k Lex yearling) Has been
ultra consistent against some of the top fillies around thus far, including a
dominant effort in $117k Kentuckiana last time at Indy. Appears to be on a different level than
most of these.
|
|
7
|
Silk Pajamas
|
($56k HB yearling) Has been
solid on the NYSS circuit this season, but asking a lot to step up to take on
the very best around tonight. Not sure
I am ready to endorse her against these.
|
|
8
|
Woman of Terror
|
($25k Lex yearling) Appears
to pack some major league speed when she doesn’t break, but it’s hard to see
her hanging with the top ones in here even if she does mind her manners. Gingras opted to #1 instead.
|
|
9
|
Wherethe girlsare
|
Regally bred daughter of
unbelievable first crop sire SBSW, out of the champion mare Cabrini Hanover. Tired late after launching a first over attack
on #6 last time, but she has proven she can go with these.
|
Race 12 Selections 2-1-3-6-8 10 CENT SUP ER
HI FIVE WAGERING
|
1
|
Southwind Metallic
|
($10k Lex yearling) Battled
breaking problems all year, but has proven that he can hang with some tough
colts when his mind is on business.
Should sit close from the pole.
Maybe.
|
|
2
|
Donnie Donato
|
($70k Lex yearling) Added
hobbles in the AM here last time, and that was the first time we had seen him
in over 3 months. Makes his career
debut tonight, not an overly tough group.
Live longshot? Maybe.
|
|
3
|
Detour Hanover
|
($825k HB yearling – highest
yearling sold in ’11) His FULL brother Donato Hanover owns the fastest
trotting mile ever on this track, and this guy debuted with a solid win at
Pocono. I would expect him to be
overbet a bit given the royal pedigree, now might be a good spot to look for
some value elsewhere.
|
|
4
|
Recon
|
($30k Lex yearling) Saved
ground in overnight last time at Mohawk to finish up a close 4th,
and appears to be one of many with a shot in a fairly wide open crew.
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5
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Body Balance
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First time starter made a
break in his most recent AM effort, I’ll have to watch him go around under
the lights once first.
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6
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Kostas De Vie
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($29k Lex yearling) Has
finished up well on the smaller Canadian tracks thus far, and should really
benefit with the move to the big oval tonight. Any further improvement should put him
squarely in the mix.
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7
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Lejeune
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($10k HB yearling) Made a
break in his most recent effort just over a month ago, and he’s yet to
display the stamina needed to hang around for any of the major awards
late. I’ll pass for now.
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8
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Up Front N Crazy
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($30k HB yearling) Yet to
hit the board in 6 tries, but appears to be facing a far easier crew than he
has faced in his most recent efforts.
Class relief should provide a wakeup call.
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$10,000 Guaranteed Pick 4
Races 6 – 9
Race
6 – 6, 8
Race
7 – 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Race
8 – 3, 4
Race
9 – 1, 4
Total Ticket Cost - $48
LOCK OF THE NIGHT: RACE 11 #6 NIKKI BEACH (2-1 ML)
LONGSHOT OF THE NIGHT: RACE 4 #3 RAVEN VICTORY (6-1 ML)
HAVE FUN – WIN MONEY!
YOU CAN VIEW THESE RACE SELECTIONS
ONLINE AT THEREDMILE.COM! CLICK ON
‘GABE’S PICKS’ UNDER THE MEDIA TAB!
CHECK OUT REPLAYS FROM ALL OF THE RACING
ACTION HERE AT THE RED MILE!
YOUTUBE.COM/THEREDMILERACETRACK
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