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The Red Mile 2014 Standardbred Meet:
August 3- October 5


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Saturday, October 1, 2011

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User: julie
Date: 9/29/2011 11:39 am
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Red Mile Nightly Selections

Saturday, October 1st

Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt

 

Race 1                     Selections                                4-6-5-9

1

Swinging Nadine

($30k HB yearling) Added lasix in the overnight last week, and popped the pocket early on the far turn but she could only manage to be 4th.  That was a solid crew, and it was a very cold and windy night.  Should serve as a good tightner, and she is one of many with a shot at the minor awards beind the fav in here. 

2

Friendly Persuader

Local Q’fer was decent on the off track, but I’m not sure if I can be persuaded into taking her after she has made breaks in both LT starts.  Connections obviously think she has some talent though, dropping her in stakes company for her first LT start.  Your call.  Lachance opted off for #9.    

3

Ava Marion

($70k Lex yearling) Put in a nice first over bid here in the 2nd leg of the Kindergarten at a big price, and then came up sick for leg 3.  She would need her very best here, and it’s hard to expect off the sick line.  I’ll pass in here.  Lachance opted off for #9.   

4

Northern Miss Hall

COMPLETELY wrapped up in winning the $250k KYSS final, and we haven’t seen anywhere near the bottom of this filly yet.  I wish she was eligible to the stakes here, as I’m sure her connections do as well. 

5

Powell Blue Chip

($32k HB yearling) Got caught up in a pretty big mile against a nice filly last time, and ended up settling for 3rd.  She has certainly been on the improve since arriving locally, and picks up Pierce tonight.  Maybe. 

6

Fancy

($42k HB yearling) One of 4 wins on the closing night program for driver James Stiltner, Fancy came first over with authority and dug in gamely down the lane.  Any similar effort should put her close once again. 

7

Teresa Tresa

($23k Lex yearling) Trotted evenly against overnight company at The Meadows (Be there!) recently, but things aren’t going to get any easier in here.  I’ll wait for a better spot. 

8

Majestic Kash

Rounded out the superfecta at a nice price in her first local start, but in reality she was far behind #6 in that mile.  Would need a LOT more speed to hang with these. 

9

Blue Muscles

($30k Lex yearling) Not sure what happened last time, it was a disappointing effort as the 8-5 fav.  The prior start she made a break at the head of the lane but appeared to have PLENTY of trot.  Which BM shows up here?  Should provide plenty of value.  Lachance opted here over #’s 2 & 3.     

 

Race 2                     Selections                                2-4-1-7

1

Mr Erv

($52k Lex yearling) Has been solid on the NYSS circuit for Mr Erv Miller.  Appears to have landed in a decent spot here, but does appear to have a solid rival to contend with in #2.  Underneath.    

2

One Through Ten

($100k Lex yearling – highest FSS sold in ’10) Lightly raced colt is less than a length away from being undefeated, and he should continue to improve in his 3rd LT start tonight for top connections.  Certainly the one to beat. 

3

Blueridge Wildcat

Held his own against mid-level stakes company on the east coast, but going to need even more speed to go with the fav in here.  One of several with a shot at the minor awards. 

4

Peck Blue Chip

($20k HB yearling) Appeared to be in no man’s land after sitting last through a 59 half on Jug Day at Delaware, but colt put in a very nice effort to get up for 2nd.  Very impressive mile, and he continues to improve.  Must respect. 

5

Upfront Long Shot

($25k HB yearling) Aptly named for tonight anyway, gelding appears to be in a bit over his head here.  I’ll pass. 

6

Rock N Roll Legend

Would have been nice to see him put in a clean mile in Chi-town overnight as the fav last week, but colt was offstride early.  Faced some tough company thus far in his brief career, should find this a bit easier. 

7

Bettorwithbourbon

($30k NJ Clsc yearling) Seriously, we are in Kentucky.  Is there anything that isn’t better with bourbon?  Gelding has gone a couple of big first over miles out east, and should continue to improve in LT start #4.  Maybe. 

 

Race 3                     Selections                                1-2-4-3

1

Pretend to be Nice

($17k HB yearling) Dominant winner in only local start for new barn.  She was VERY impressive that night, and looked to have plenty more in the tank.  Should continue to improve, YG opted here over #9. 

2

Upside Hanover

($18k HB yearling) Picked up a nice 3rd place check in the $333k Marie Annabelle, and closed nicely to get the job done as the 3-5 fav in her last start at Vernon.  Looks to have landed in a comfortable spot here.

3

Mystical Escapade

Was on top turning for home in the $250k KYSS final before making a break, but relaxed nicely in the two hole on Juggette Day in Delaware and looked great in drawing away to an easy win.  Rounding the corner. 

4

Dazzling Valley

Didn’t appear to have much luck in Chi-town stakes, but this filly raced BIG the last time we saw her locally and finished up right behind a couple of VERY nice fillies.  Certainly some talent here. 

5

Willing Wind

Parlayed a perfect pocket trip into a win in overnight here, and she was really trotting when she shook loose in deep stretch.  Big step up here though.  Your call. 

6

Love N Lindy

Had some sneaky late trot last time, and we may see a more aggressive steer here in her 3rd LT start with Tetrick in the bike.  Any improvement would put her right in the mix. 

7

Feel the Pressure

($12k Lex yearling) Not sure what has happened in the last couple, but stamina has suddenly become a major issue.  Going to need a lot more speed to apply any pressure here.  Pierce opted to #3.   

8

Primrose Volo

Has been decent since arriving in town, but taking on a solid crew here.  Not sure I can endorse her tonight. 

9

Aldebaran Malibu

($30 Lex yearling) Big off the pace rally to win the 2nd leg of the Kindergarten series, but didn’t fair well after going to the front and cutting out some quick fractions last time.  PLENTY of early speed to overcome post 9, but appears to have trouble relaxing when they get her keyed up early. 

Race 4                     Selections                                5-7-4-1

1

Lucky Jim

Has certainly rounded back into form over the last couple of months, and he came up just a neck short 2 back to #5 in $218k Credit Winner at Vernon.  Should sit very close from the pole here in blockbuster field, with over $10 million in earnings between the 7 entrants.  Must respect. 

2

Take My Picture

Plenty of talent here, but this guy is taking on the very best in North America tonight.  Not quite sure they will be taking his picture after this one.   

3

Lanson

Lachance stole a cheap middle half in overnight here last week, and that was plenty enough to hold off the late rally by #4.  RAZOR sharp right now, winning at 4 different tracks in his last 4 starts.  Needs his very best. 

4

Arch Madness

Sprinted home right behind #3 last week, but couldn’t run him down off the leisurely fractions.  Triple millionaire continues to pad his bankroll, and is one of many with a big shot in here. 

5

San Pail

Nice to see one of my favorites making what I believe is his first career start here at The Red Mile with his regular pilot, RW.  He WILL be flying late, just depends if they get down there on time.  Should get a square price on anyone here in competitive crew, and I’m on board here. 

6

Il Villaggio

Ended up 3rd when he hooked up with many of these same horses 3 back in $218k stake at Vernon.  Has always had plenty of talent, and his best would certainly put him in the mix. 

7

Hot Shot Blue Chip

Was in career best form two starts back when he sprinted home to win in 51.3, and I would expect another off the pace effort here.  Certainly has a big late kick if things set up for him. 

 

Race 5                     Selections                                4-6-2-7

1

Little Michael B

($72k Lex yearling) Jersey invader sprinted away in Green Acres action at Freehold last time, and took out a solid crew in $104k Lou Babic in the prior start.  Continues to improve with each start, but a BIG step up here. 

2

D Terminata

($36k Lex yearling) Tough trip in the million dollar Metro two back, and got caught in an impossible spot in $148k stake last time.  Should sit much closer from post 2 tonight, and is certainly a major player in here. 

3

Friday at Five

The tenth and final foal of the late Five O’clock Cindy, who produced World Champion Jenna’s Beach Boy who earned over $1.9 million on the track and has been an outstanding sire (come back to KY!!).  Same connections have this guy, and he has proven to be a nice little colt in his own right.  Will need his ‘A’ game here. 

4

Bolt the Duer

($70k HB yearling – highest Ponder sold in ’10) Speaking of world class broodmares, this is the THIRD KYSS Champ out of the late Wonderbolt!!  I made the statement that this colt could go with ANYTHING in the country after his opening leg KYSS win on 8-21 and I still stand by it today.  He will give them all they want, will it be enough?  I think so. 

5

Bettor’s Edge

Aggressively handled last time and came up just a length short in a solid NYSS crew.  Looks like another top colt for Team Toscano, and he appears to have versatile speed.  Will need his very best tonight. 

6

Sweet Lou

($38k HB yearling) Sweet Lou is only one dirty nose away from an undisputed record in 8 career starts, and has already banked over $283k for Team Burke.  Looked dominant in Indy stake, and is clearly the one to beat. 

7

Caviart Key

($12k Lex yearling) Absolutely dominant on Jug Day at Delaware, and this colt was 2nd best to #4 on the KYSS circuit this season.  Facing a jam up crew here, but he will sprint home with any of them.  Your call. 

8

Hillbilly Hanover

($105k HB yearling) Held his own all season on the PASS circuit, but he has certainly landed in quite the shark tank here in his first local start.  Plenty of early speed if DM elects to use it, but a lot of speed inside of him too.  Tough call.  DM opted here over #3.    

9

Ideal Ike

Ike appears to be in a bit over his head here and gets slammed with post 9 on top of it.  Not tonight. 

 

Race 6                     Selections      8-6-1-2                    Start of $10,000 Pick 4                          See ticket at the end

1

Krispy Apple

Blowout win last time at Pocono, and this filly has proven she can go with the very best all season.  Draws the pole in a stacked up field of fillies.  Should be sitting close or moving early.  Major player. 

2

Strike an Attitude

I absolutely loved this filly’s performance here in the GC last year, and again in the BC final when she was flying late at Pocono.  Hasn’t come back quite as sharp, but still packs a wicked punch when the trip sets up for her. 

3

Foxy Lady

Ended up 4th 3 starts back to #6 in the Nadia Lobell, a race that formerly was contested at The Red Mile, on the day that Peelers went down.  Maybe a shot at the minor awards, not sure she is ready to go with the favs. 

4

Cold Mist

Handily defeated by #3 on the off track at The Meadows last time, and I’m not sure if she can make any major noise in this spot.  A nice filly, but a blockbuster field here. 

5

Honky Tonk Woman

Soundly defeated by #1 last time, and I’m not sure she is on the same level as her stablemate (#8) in here.  I’ll pass. 

6

Idyllic

I was sitting in the grandstand and thought this filly looked like a monster on the track at Delaware, and she came out to take the Juggette in straight heats.  RAZOR sharp right now.  Impossible to ignore. 

7

Whats New Pussycat

No match for #6 in Delaware, and it would be hard for me to see her turning the tables here.  I’ll wait for an easier spot.  I still remember catching her at a nice price (9/2) here last year.  YG opted to #8 instead.   

8

Drop the Ball

Caught this filly on Hambo Day at The Meadowlands when she came from an impossible spot to get by #6.  She appears to be over the breaking problems, and has PLENTY of speed.  YG opted here over #’s 3 & 7.    

9

Ace of Pace

Held her own against some tough older mares in overnight company at Pocono, but this is the very definition of a tough spot tonight.  I’ll wait for a better one. 

10

Swinging Beauty

Perfect patient steer from McNair got this filly up in time in the opening heat of the Juggette, and then she had to take the worst of it first over in the final.  Tough task from post 10, I’d expect another patient steer. 

 

 Race 7                     Selections                                1-8-4-3

1

Caitrin Hall

Possibly a notch below the top fillies in the country, but this filly has certainly held her own against some of the very best.  Picked up a 4th 2 back in the $233k Moni Maker.  Looks to have landed in a very comfortable spot here, and looks like the one to beat in big bulky field.  DM opted here over #’s 3 & 9.    

2

ML Cupcake

I played against this filly last week in Delaware thinking she didn’t have any early speed, and Noble quartered her right to the top and she won easy.  Certainly fits with these. 

3

Cheetah Hall

Looked average when we saw her in Ohio, but has rounded the corner in her last couple of starts including a LT best performance last time at The Meadows on an off track.  Heading in the right direction.  DM opted to #1.    

4

A Fair Chance

Filly has been knocking heads with older mares in tough overnight condition ranks at The Meadows recently.  Only 3yo’s in here, but still going to need her very best.  Certainly has A Fair Chance, and will be a fair price. 

5

Birthday Bonus

That’s exactly what I need, a birthday bonus!  Or a Halloween bonus, or Labor Day bonus!  Don’t worry about me, I’ll get my bonus through the windows or go down swinging.  Back to reality, this filly has held her own in NYSS action, and is one of many with a shot at the minor awards in here.  Your call. 

6

Sephora De Vie

Trotted evenly in PA recently, but I honestly don’t like her as well as her stablemate (#4) in here.  Should provide plenty of value if you want to take a shot though. 

7

Patty Says So

I always pull for the home team when they hit the road, and it was nice to see KY-sired filly pick up a nice 4th in tough spot on Juggette Day in Delaware.  Patty trotted in 56 and change here in a similar spot as a 2yo during GC, but she hasn’t come back quite as good in her sophomore campaign.  Needs her very best here. 

8

Love U Overandover

Made a break against a tough crew in PA stake last time, but this filly was VERY impressive here two back with her trainer in the bike in finishing 2nd behind a nice colt.  I would expect Sears to be on the gas early in here, and she should sit very close.  Like her to get a big piece. 

9

Miss Caviar

All sorts of problems recently for this lightly raced filly and lands in post 9.  Not for me. 

10

Tawesome More

Wasn’t much of a factor in local overnight last time, but there is a LOT of talent here when this filly is at her best.  Hasn’t been herself since winning in 53.2 in NJSS a couple months back.  Not sure what to expect. 

11

Maplegrove Shaelyn

Blowout winner in $103k IL bred stake last time in Chicago, and has been RAZOR sharp over the last couple of months.  Not a huge fan of 2nd tier trotters, but no question #1 is the one to follow in here.  Maybe. 

 

Race 8                     Selections                                5-9-7-3

1

Social Network

($25k Lex yearling) Nice tightner last time, as 2yo colt held his own in a NW3 even though he is still a maiden.  No question he is heading in the right direction, but stepping up to take on a solid crew here.  I’ll watch another start first.  Sears opted to #6 instead.   

2

All Stienam

($27k Lex yearling) Not sure what happened last time, but he got away with a leisurely pace on a day where speed was golden at Delaware and couldn’t get the job done.  Things aren’t going to get any easier here. 

3

Damon Blue Chip

($110k HB yearling) Game first over try at Delaware last time, and Damon has been chasing some nice colts this season.  Not sure he is on the same level as the top 2, but things open up after that. 

4

Memory King

($15k HB yearling) Parlayed a perfect pocket trip into a nice win in NYSS action last time out at Vernon, and the King continues to improve with each LT start.  Going to need his very best punch here. 

5

A Rocknroll Dance

($15k HB yearling) Only beaten a half length in the $1 million Metro two starts back at Mohawk, and came back to crush an easier crew in $106k Indy stake last time.  Packs wicked speed, and looks like a standout in here. 

6

Who’s Your Maddy

($32k HB yearling) Raced evenly in NYSS action recently, but taking a big step up to take on open stakes company here.  Not sure he’s ready for these just yet.  Sears opted here over #1.    

7

Brent Montana

($47k HB yearling) Not sure what has happened here, but the last time we saw this guy he pulled off a shocking 59-1 upset of MEL MARA at The Big M.  I wouldn’t think Berry would come all the way down here if he didn’t think Brent was ready to roll.  Possibly a live longshot in here. 

8

Dick McTracy

($28k Lex yearling) Parlayed a perfect trip into a nice win in $65k stake at The Meadows last time, but not sure if things are going to work out that smoothly here from post 8.  Needs his very best. 

9

Ezpass Hanover

($22k HB yearling) Wow!  Colt has reeled off 4 consecutive against mid-level stakes company in PA, and steps up to take on open company here.  We are about to find out just how good he is, Palone will likely blast early. 

 

 Race 9                     Selections                                5-9-1-3

1

We Will See

What a field!!  7 millionaires and over $13 million in combined earnings!  This guy has over a million on his card this season, and is absolutely RAZOR sharp right now.  Lands on the pole, and will certainly have a big say. 

2

Dial or Nodial

Finished up just behind #1 last time at Pocono, and had a LT best performance in the prior start.  These are all VERY nice horses, and I can honestly make a case for almost all of them.  Your guess is as good as mine. 

3

Atochia

Ended up a nice 4th in $848k Canadian Pacing Derby behind #1 3 starts back, and had the bad luck of drawing the 8 hole in $335k Quillen last time at Harrington and ended up parked the mile by his stablemate (#9).  He is in good form right now, and should provide plenty of value.  DM opted to #2 instead.      

4

Bettor Sweet

Blazed through some quick fractions last time at Pocono, and couldn’t overcome the 10 hole in his prior effort in $848k stake at Mohawk.  Plenty of versatile speed, and another one that has a shot in wide open affair. 

5

Aracache Hanover

Absolutely dominant winner on Jug Day at Delaware, and has proven he can go some BIG miles with some of the best all season long.  May get a sweet trip up close in here.  Big shot. 

6

Mach Dreamer

Held his own against many of these all season long, but honestly appears that he may be a step behind the top ones in here at this point.  I can’t use them all, and I’ll wait until he lands in an easier spot. 

7

One More Laugh

Has made a habit of coming first over recently, and has certainly run into his share of bad luck in the big money finals it seems.  Certainly fits with these when he is at his best. 

8

Meirs Hanover

Soundly beaten by #5 in Delaware last time, and it appears that he may be a notch below these right now as well.  I’ll pass on him in here. 

9

Foiled Again

Triple millionaire is one of my favorites, and he parked his stablemate (#3) every step to win the $335k Quillen last time at Harrington.  YG will be on the gas early here from post 9, and things should get very interesting here in what turned out to be a blockbuster field.  We are just missing his other stablemate, Won the West. 

10

St Elmo Hero

Elmo has rounded back into form recently, and was the talk of the sport earlier this spring when he began his career with 25 straight wins.  Not sure I like how things set up for him from post 10 here though. 

 

Race 10                   Selections                                6-8-4-3

1

Dragon Ridge

($75k Lex yearling) Got caught in the back off a pedestrian pace last time at Chester, but he is still going to need a LOT more speed to go with some of the top freshman in the country here.  Pass. 

2

Special Blend

($70k Lex yearling – highest Panderosa sold in ’10) Raced evenly in most of the Canadian stakes against some of the top colts this summer, but was a bit disappointing when we saw him in overnight last time.  Will need a big rebound here. 

3

Ideal Champ

($15k Lex yearling) Got caught in the back in the $1 million Metro the last time we saw him, but the Champ has gone some big miles against stakes company this season.  Should be much closer in here.  Sears opted to #4.   

4

Mybrothergeorge

($110k HB yearling) Beat a decent crew of older horses in his only local start, but he certainly didn’t sprint away from them late.  Has proven he can go with the top ones, but it looks like you have to keep his mind on business.  Sears opted here over #’s 3 & 8.    

5

Call Me Mr P

($6k Lex yearling) Made an early break in Delaware last time, and colt appears to be in over his head here in open company tonight.  Hard to endorse against these. 

6

Maytime Terror

($125k Lex yearling) When I say he was under wraps on a cold and windy night in the overnight, I mean he was under absolute WRAPS.  Very impressed with him there, and there was a LOT more in the tank.  Live longshot? 

7

Intervention

Rode the pylons to race decently at Delaware, but asking a lot for him to go with the top ones in here.  I’ll wait until we see some more improvement. 

8

Shakerattlenrock

($30k HB yearling) Super AM effort on the off track at Pocono last time, and has proven he packs PLENTY of speed thus far in his career.  Sears opted to #4 instead.    

9

Mortal Zin

($27k HB yearling) Finished up 2nd with a perfect trip in Green Acres leg last time at Freehold, but a big step up to open stakes company tonight.  Don’t like how things set up for him in here.  Pass.

 

Race 11                   Selections                                2-7-1-5

1

Rockin Finish

Lands on the pole here in what appears to be a wide open event behind the fav.  Should sit close, and colt is yet to miss the board in 5 LT starts.  Maybe.  JJ opted off for #7.    

2

Simply Business

($350k Lex yearling – highest RNRH sold in ’10) Perfect Pierce piloting to pull off the million dollar upset last time at odds of 20-1!  Had a nice 4 week break since that win, and has landed in a fairly comfortable division here.  Clearly the one to beat. 

3

Acrylic Hanover

($100k HB yearling) Held his own in PA overnights, but this is a MAJOR step up here in the Bluegrass tonight.  Going to need a LOT more speed here. 

4

Verdad

Had a tough first over trip 2 back as the fav in the $104k Babic Final at Freehold, and had to settle for 3rd.  Appears to be rounding into form, but will need to find even more in here. 

5

Escape the News

Sprinted away from NYSS company at Yonkers last time, and raced evenly in the Metro Consolation in the prior effort.  Looks wide open behind the fav, and looks to have a big shot at the minor awards. 

6

Station Threeohsix

Raced evenly on the PASS circuit this season, and lands in what is probably the softest of 4 Bluegrass divisions.  Possibly underneath. 

7

Terrorist Alert

($47k Lex yearling) I know it was just a NW2 last time at Mohawk, but colt put in a very nice effort to draw clear as the 3-5 fav.  I am all for taking a horse on the way up, and I’ll give him a try to get a big piece in here.  Jamieson opted here over #1.    

8

Carol’s Comet

($16k HB yearling) Doesn’t appear to pack the speed to go with these just yet.  Pass. 

9

Bakin on the Beach

($25k Lex yearling) Slammed with post 9, and would have to show a lot of improvement to be close here.  Not for me.  Sears opted to #5 instead.   

 

 Race 12                   Selections                                1-4-6-2

1

I Like Dreamin

Finished up a nice 2nd in $106k Elevation last time at Indy behind ARNRD, who was in tonight’s 8th race.  See how that one raced in there.  Any similar effort makes him the one to beat in here. 

2

Feelin Cornered

OH invader doesn’t appear to be on the same level as the two favs in here, but appears absolutely wide open behind them.  One of many with a shot at the minor awards. 

3

Heavenly Beaches

No luck when he was in town for the 2nd leg of the KYSS, and now he has been missing for over a month since.  Not positive indicators.  I’ll watch him go around tonight.  YG opted to #5 instead.    

4

Rockndream

($37k HB yearling) Appears to have plenty of talent, but has regressed into a couple of breaks in his last couple of starts.  No question he fits if he minds his manners, looks like a two horse race with #1. 

5

Release the Terror

($20k Lex yearling) Would have probably liked him a lot more in here, but I’m not sure what happened to him as the 4-5 fav in the last start at Pocono.  Appeared to get away with a soft enough pace.  Needs a big rebound tonight.  YG chose over #3.    

6

Little Nicky B

($33k HB yearling) Finally stayed flat in Q’fer on an off track last time at Pocono, after making 3 consecutive breaks in the prior efforts.  Showed some talent when he first arrived on the scene earlier this year.  Your call. 

7

It’s a Deal

Hasn’t had much success in OH overnight company, and I don’t see that changing here.  Pass.

 

$10,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 (Races 6 – 9)

 

                                                            Race 6 – 1, 6, 8

                                                            Race 7 – 1

                                                            Race 8 – 5

                                                            Race 9 – ALL

 

Total Ticket Cost - $30

 

LONGSHOT OF THE NIGHT:     RACE 10 #6 MAYTIME TERROR          (10-1)

LOCK OF THE NIGHT:                RACE 1   #4 NORTHERN MISS HALL   (6-5)

 

HAVE FUN – WIN MONEY!



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