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Saturday, October 6, 2012
User:
jsorrell
Date: 10/4/2012 10:06 am
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Red Mile Race Reviews
Saturday, October 6th
Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt
Race 1 Selections 2-6-5-1
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1
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Feys Blitzen Grey
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Grey gelding apparently had
some issues after disappearing since the beginning of the overnight meet, but
put in a couple of solid AM tries to prove he’s back on track. Absolutely wide open crew here. Maybe.
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2
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AB’s Beach Boy
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Reunited with Mark Mac after
those two teamed up for a dominant score here back on 9-1. Anything even close to that effort should
make him tough to beat here in short field.
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3
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Do It Best
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Took a bad shuffle last
time, and has held his own locally against some fairly solid groups. No doubt his best effort would put him
squarely in the mix.
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4
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He’s the Bomb
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Has been MIA for over 45
days coming in, and is yet another that can certainly go with these on his
best day. Well beaten by #1 in the
Q’fer though, might need a tightner.
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5
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Last Second Shot
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Really rounded into form in
his last couple of overnight appearances here, and anything similar to those
efforts put him in play once again. D.
Miller opted to #6 instead.
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6
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Van Gundy Hanover
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Interesting to see a 2yo
taking on much older rivals here, but he did race evenly against stakes
company here last week. I’m just not
sure I’m willing to accept a short price on him against these though. DM chose over #5.
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Race 2 Selections 1-5-3-7
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1
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Market Share
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Honestly a bit disappointing
to see the richest horse in the sport this year not take on top company in
tomorrow’s KY Futurity, but at least we get to see him in action locally. Appears tons the best in this spot.
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2
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Power Play
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Connections continue to
tinker with this guy, as they have now removed hobbles and added lasix over
the last several weeks. Still may come
up a bit shorthanded against this crew.
Tetrick opted to #1.
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3
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Prayer Session
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KYSS runner up rebounded
with a dominant score in $125k Bucket on Jug Day, and will no doubt be
blasting to the top once again in here.
Has always loved this track, yet to miss the board all season.
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4
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Il Mago
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Finally kept everything
together last week to pull off a 15-1 upset in holding off the heavy fav down
the lane in a LT best mile. Can he
keep his mind on business in an even tougher group today? I’ll make him prove it.
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5
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Lightning Storm
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Showed a lot of improvement
after adding lasix prior to the last start against stakes company, and should
continue to improve here in his 2nd local start. I can make a case.
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6
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Natural Forces
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MI champ trotted evenly in
his first stretch out to the mile strip here last week, but would still need
to find a lot more to contend for any of the major awards in here.
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7
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From Above
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Made an uncharacteristic
break at the start to lose all chance last time, and may try a more
conservative steer here after landing back in a tough spot from outside
post. Maybe underneath. Tetrick opted to #1.
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8
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We Belong Together
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Hard to endorse after we’ve
seen him make 3 consecutive breaks now, but I can tell you that this guy had
some trot down the lane and was gaining prior to making the break. Still can’t make myself play him in here
though.
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Race 3 Selections 1-5-4-2
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1
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Fresh N Fast
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Lived precisely up to his
name last week, after blasting right to the top and digging in gamely down
the lane. Appears to be really
rounding the corner over the last month.
Should sit close once again from the pole.
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2
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Mindset
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($150k Lex yearling) Was
moving up a bit last week but went into a break in stride after getting
steppy around the far turn in his career debut. Should save ground and sit close.
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3
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Ring Leda
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($65k HB yearling) Finally
lands in with a decent starting post after getting stuck on the outside in
his last couple. Should sit much
closer, maybe a shot at the minor awards.
Tetrick opted to #4 instead.
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4
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Roar
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($82k Lex yearling) Appeared
to be under very careful handling last week, before being totally eliminated
around the far turn when a breaker forced him very wide. Hard to gage that effort. Should be tightened up now.
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5
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Only the Lonely
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A solid effort in his local
debut to blast from post 10 and carry his speed a long way. Lands back in a perfect mid-pack post here,
plenty of options for his pilot. His
best effort puts him in the mix.
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6
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Bad Boy Doll
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($6.5k Del yearling) Never in it from outside
post last time, and still going to need a bit more speed to hang with the top
ones in here. Tetrick opted to #4
instead.
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7
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Card Knock Life
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($50k Lex yearling) A nice
even effort last week to finish up 3rd, and lands back in what
should be a similar crew here. Possibly
a shot at the minor awards once again.
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8
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Dragon’s Rule
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Never in it last time, and
lands on the outside of another solid crew here. I’ll wait until we see some
improvement.
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Race 4 Selections 3-1-7-2
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1
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Big McDeal
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Used hard to make the lead
last week, which took its toll late as she tired down the lane. Should be able to sit close after landing
on the pole here, look to pounce late.
Maybe.
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2
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Ramalama
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Perfect trip following #3 up
last week, and was able to pace home evenly to pick up 4th. Not sure she can knock off the fav, but one
of many with a shot at the minor awards once again.
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3
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Romantic Moment
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Tough trip last week, as she
was forced to move first over just past the half after leaving hard off the
gate as well. Still fought willingly
down the lane to hold 2nd.
Appears to have landed in a fairly comfortable spot here.
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4
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Sarandon Blue Chip
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Obviously still having some
issues as she made a break around the far turn last time and scattered the
cover flow. Would need a big rebound
here.
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5
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Destiny’s Chance
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Parlayed a perfect trip into
a nice 2nd place finish behind the fav last time, but I’m not sure
things will work out that perfectly again in here with all of the early speed
inside of her. Not today. Gingras opted to #3 instead.
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6
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Rockaround Sue
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Saved ground behind #5
throughout the mile last time, and held 3rd down the lane after
being unable to go by #5 for 2nd.
Not sure things will work out that perfectly for her in here
either.
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7
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Lightning Paige
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Actually had been shuffled
back quite a bit turning for home last time, and showed some pop on the end
of it to sprint back by some rivals to pick up 3rd. I would expect an off the pace try from out
here. Maybe.
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Race 5 Selections 1-6-7-5
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1
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American Jewel
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Couldn’t have possibly
looked any better last week in her return to the red clay, and appeared to
rebound off those 2 Delaware
heats quite nicely. May face a bit
more pressure here, but she’s still the one to beat.
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2
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Marty Party
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Marty was scratched from the
party last week, but has hit the board in 10 of 12 on the year against some
of the nicest fillies around. Will she
be ready after a month on the shelf?
Good question. Palone opted to
#6 instead.
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3
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Moonlit Dragon
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A nice local Q’fer, but she is
still going to have to prove to me that she can hang with this crew on a big
track. I’ll watch this one.
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4
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Princess Cruiser
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No match for many of these
rivals last week, and retains longshot status here. Pass.
Palone opted to #6 instead.
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5
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Darena Hanover
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Jugette Champ was used
extremely hard last week, and the torrid early tempo took its toll late as
she tired down the lane. I would
expect another aggressive steer here, but hopefully she can trip out behind
the fav.
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6
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Economy Terror
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Lost all chance last week
after being kneecapped around the far turn when SBC made a break in front of
her. I’m not sure she will be sitting
off the pace in here, Palone likely on the gas early. Gets another chance at #1.
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7
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Shelliscape
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Absolutely loved her last
week and she got set up perfectly to sprint by her rivals to pull off the
mild upset. Outside post shouldn’t
bother her, no question she will be flying late once again.
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Race 6 Selections 6-2-8 $10,000 Guaranteed Pick 4
Starts Here See Ticket at
the end
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1
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Iyamwhat isham
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Hard to knock this guy who
has beaten everything that has been put in front of him recently with
ease. However, he steps up today for
what is likely his toughest task to date.
D. Miller opted here over #’s 4, 5, & 6.
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2
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Fudge
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($35k Lex yearling) Another
solid effort for the Campbell-Mcintosh team last week, as this guy was used
very hard and still raced very well to be 2nd. Lands back in post 2 here, no question a
major player once again.
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3
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Rocks N Bonds
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($25k Lex yearling) Saved
ground throughout to pick up 3rd last week, and that was off a
brief layoff. Should continue to
improve tonight in only his 4th LT start. Maybe.
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4
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Electrify
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($45k HB yearling) Never
really looked comfortable after launching a first over attack last week
before eventually going into a break around the far turn. Made breaks in all 3 starts now, hard to
hop on board.
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5
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Itsahard rocklife
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Never in it last week in his
career debut, and not quite sure he is ready for this crew yet either. Pass for now.
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6
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Ultimate Beachboy
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($57k HB yearling) Never in
it last week from post 10 in big field, and he was forced wide around the far
turn after #4 broke as well. I do
think there is some talent here though, I’m willing to give one more try.
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7
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Yucatan
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($100k Lex yearling) Another
that was bothered around the far turn last week when #4 made the break. Should be able to work out a smoother
journey here in smaller field. Your call.
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8
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Spartacus PV
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($52k HB yearling) Picture
perfect trip last week following the eventual winner, and put him to the test
down the lane before having to settle for 2nd. Likely another aggressive steer coming
here. Big shot.
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Race 7 Selections 1-2-3-5
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1
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Rockin Amadeus
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Didn’t cross the line first,
but was placed forward after the heavy fav was ruled guilty of an infraction
last week in stakes action. Dodges his
main div rivals here, lands back on the pole.
Must respect.
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2
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Fool Me Once
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($70k HB yearling) Carved
out some sizzling fractions on the front end last time, and still dug in
gamely down the lane to fight off his rivals.
Very impressed with that try, any similar effort puts him close once
again.
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3
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Twilight Bonfire
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Appeared to have no shot to
reel in the leader at the head of the lane last time, but uncorked a wicked
final panel to mow him down in deep stretch.
A big effort there, but likely a bit tougher crew here. Needs his best.
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4
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Real Rocker
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($75k Lex yearling) Race
line doesn’t show it, but I believe he was determined to have been interfered
with last week. Either way, he had to
check up after running up over #1.
Maybe a notch or two below the top colts in here still.
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5
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Clint Westwood
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($100k HB yearling) Towed
into it perfectly with a 2nd over trip last time, but was unable
to rally past #2 down the lane. Still
not a bad effort, and may end up with a similar journey from mid-pack post
here.
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6
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Thirty Two Red
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($70k Lex yearling) Bothered
a bit after the fav made a break in front of him down the backstretch going
to the half last week. Still paced
home evenly to be 5th. Will
need to find even more here though.
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7
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Modern Cruiser
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($30k HB yearling) The
breaker allowed him to open up to a nearly insurmountable lead at the head of
the lane last week, but he was tracked down in the final strides by #3. That was a big improvement regardless.
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8
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Muscle Beachboy
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($75k HB yearling) Wiped out
after he was unable to avoid the trouble in front of him last week. Lands on the outside of another tough crew,
still not sure he is ready to hang with the top ones in here.
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Race 8 Selections 5-8-3-1
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1
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Modern Warfare
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($20k HB yearling) Tired a
bit late after launching a first over attack against the eventual winner last
week, but lands on the pole once again here.
Likely to save ground, maybe underneath. Tetrick opted to #8.
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2
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Teresa’s Beach
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Wiped out last week behind
the confusion, but he is still yet to prove that he can go with the top level
just yet. Well beaten by #5 in his
Metro Elim. I’ll wait until we see some
improvement.
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3
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Dress the Part
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Really made a break for no
reason last time as the field raced towards the half. His prior efforts prove that he can hold
his own with the top tier. Possibly
underneath if he minds his manners. Campbell opted to
#5.
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4
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Our Dragon King
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Tired out of it down the
lane last week, as he could not keep up with the eventual winner late. Things certainly aren’t going to get any
easier here. Would need a complete
turnaround.
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5
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Odds on Equuleus
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Regardless of your thoughts
on last week’s festivities, there is no debating that this guy was CLEARLY
the best horse. I fully expect him to
prove that once again. My regards to
anyone that played him in there.
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6
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Americas gottalent
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No match for the top colts
last week, and no match for #8 on the NYSS circuit prior. I’ll wait until he lands in a better
spot.
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7
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Cowboy Terrier
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Raced evenly against a solid
crew last time, but lands in what appears to be another tough group
here. Not today.
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8
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Doctor Butch
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($55k HB yearling) The
doctor was in all season on the tough NYSS circuit, and he’s yet to finish
worse than 2nd in 11 career starts. I’m not sure he can beat #5, but it should
make for a good showdown. Your
call.
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9
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Wake Up Peter
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($20k Lex yearling) Maybe I
am being too hard on him after that performance last week as the heavy fav,
but I must admit I wasn’t overly impressed.
Did encounter trouble very briefly.
Has his work cut out from out here.
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Race 9 Selections 3-11-1-10
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1
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Bettor’s Edge
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Talk about fun? We are tossing 12 of the best 3yo’s on the
red clay for half a million dollars here… Most anticipated race of the meet
in my opinion. Things couldn’t have
worked out any easier for this guy last time.
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2
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Hillbilly Hanover
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Not sure he is ready to hang
with this crew here in full field.
Pass. Gingras opted to #12
instead.
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3
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Bolt the Duer
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I have been on the bandwagon
all season, but even I am scratching my head over last week’s effort. Apparently had some sickness issues, he IS
better than that. The price should be
right now as well. I’m on board.
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4
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Escape the News
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May be able to escape the
news, but I’m not sure he is going to be able to escape with any of the major
awards here in an absolute shark tank.
I’ll wait for a better spot.
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5
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Sweet Lou
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A solid effort last time but
he did have a perfect journey following the eventual winner (#10). Lands in a perfect mid-pack post here in
big bulky field. Plenty of options for
Palone, I think he has to step on the gas off the gate.
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6
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Dapper Dude
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Never really fired his best
shot last time, but he has proven that he can go with the top level when
things set up for him this season.
Likely to be chasing a major league pace here in big field. Your call.
JC opted to #11.
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7
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I Like Dreamin
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Arrives locally in RAZOR
sharp form, but it may be asking a bit much to go with the top ones in this
crew. Pass for now.
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8
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Simply Business
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Got caught in an impossible
spot last time as they left him with absolutely no pace to chase on the front
end, and he sprinted home evenly.
Likely to be coming from far back here, will need his very best
punch.
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9
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Damon Blue Chip
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Note the barn change here,
but he appears overmatched still against these. Not today.
Tetrick opted to #10.
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10
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Mel Mara
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Wow! Uncorked a vicious first over attack to
throttle by #3 and power away from his rivals last week. Certainly wasn’t done any favors with the
post draw though, going to be tough from way out here.
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11
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Thinking Out Loud
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I gave him the slight edge
as the ML fav, after pacing the fastest last quarter I have ever seen to roar
by his rivals down the lane a week ago.
2nd tier shouldn’t bother him that much, flying late once
again.
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12
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A Rocknroll Dance
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Debuted locally with a nice
easy effort where he was really only asked to sprint in that final
quarter. YG may have to force his hand
a bit sooner here. Won’t be easy from
post 12. Needs his very best.
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Race 10 Selections 1-2-5-6
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1
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Captain Treacherous
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($250k Lex yearling) Just
sat on the outside of his rivals last time, and sprinted by with ease when
called on by Tetrick down the lane.
Appears to be in a league of his own.
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2
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Good Day Mate
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Got very rough gaited for a
brief moment down the lane last week, before quickly catching back and
sprinting home to a solid 2nd behind The Captain. Should be in line for a nice trip, never
worse than 2nd.
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3
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Just Bettor
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($50k HB yearling) Saved
ground throughout to finish up an even 4th last week, but appears
to have hooked what is an even tougher crew here. I’ll pass against these.
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4
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Visa Viper
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($24k HB yearling) Bothered
behind the confusion last week, but hasn’t proven that he can go with the
best of the best just yet. Pass.
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5
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Dedi’s Dragon
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($15k IN yearling) Another
solid effort last time to finish up only a neck behind the fav in 2nd,
for a colt that has really rounded into form over the last several
weeks. Any similar effort puts him
close once again.
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6
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Resistance Futile
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($33k Lex yearling)
Absolutely throttled by a lesser crew here on Sunday, in what was the first
start where he put it all together. I
would expect another off the pace rally here, flying late once again.
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7
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Hail the Taxi
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($65k HB yearling) Finished
well behind #1 in the runner up spot in the $309k Wilson, and ended up 3rd behind
him last week as well. Possibly a shot
behind him once again today.
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8
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Normandy Invasion
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($40k Lex yearling) Raced
evenly against tough company last week, but things aren’t going to get any
easier here from the outside against this group. Palone opted to #2 instead.
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Race 11 Selections 6-4-2-3-5 10
CENT SUPER HI FIVE WAGERING
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1
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Artist Night
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($45k Lex yearling) Has held
his own on the NYSS circuit this season, but steps up to take on the best of
the best here today. Not sure I can
endorse him in this crew.
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2
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Apprentice Hanover
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($90k Lex yearling) Never
really appeared to be comfortable before going into the break last week
around the far turn, but I’m assuming all systems are go with connections
dropping him right back in to go.
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3
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Urbanite Hanover
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($11k HB yearling) Not sure
what made him break last time, but he went into a wild gallop on the
backstretch right after clearing to the lead.
Has proven that he can hold his own with top company prior. Maybe.
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4
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Sir Richard Z Tam
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($35k HB yearling)
Absolutely flying on the outside to nearly nail the fav last time, and I
would expect another off the pace rally here from mid-pack post. Must respect.
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5
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My One Tru Desire
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($13k HB yearling) Briefly
took control down the lane in stakes action last week, but was unable to fend
off his rivals in deep stretch.
Continues to improve since adding lasix, but still asking quite a bit
against these.
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6
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Johny Rock
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($60k Lex yearling) Got
caught first over against the heavy fav last week, and still dug in fairly
well to hit the board down the lane.
Maybe a bit softer spot here, still needs his very best. Finished 1-2 in 8 of 9 now.
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7
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Beach Memories
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($70k HB yearling) Followed #6 up perfectly last week, but
didn’t pack enough punch to hang with the top colts down the lane. It doesn’t appear things will get any
easier here.
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8
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Jones Beach
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($50k Lex yearling) Saved
ground to finish up an even 5th last week, and still appears to be
a notch or two below the favs in here as well. I’ll wait for a better spot.
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$10,000 Guaranteed Pick 4
Races 6 – 9
Race
6 – 2, 6, 8
Race
7 – 1, 2
Race
8 – 5
Race
9 – 1, 3, 5, 6, 10, 11, 12
Total Ticket Cost - $42
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