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Saturday, September 1, 2012
User:
jsorrell
Date: 8/30/2012 10:58 am
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Red Mile Race Reviews
Saturday, September 1st
Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt
Race 1 Selections 4-5-2-6
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1
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Richard Traci
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Got caught up in a big mile
in his first local start at this level, and should benefit from drawing the
pole here in his second go around in small field. Still going to have to pick it up a
bit.
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2
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Topville Diamond
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Was in over his head last
time, and drops to a level tonight where he should be able to have some
success. I would expect TS to put him
in play early here in small field.
Maybe.
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3
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Theshdw nse
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Drops in for a claiming tag
after coming up short late in his last couple. I’ll wait for some improvement.
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4
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Crazy Dan
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Another that lands in for a
tag after taking a win off against conditioned company, and barn has really
heated up over the last couple of weeks.
That was a fairly solid field he beat two weeks ago.
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5
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Thatillbsweet
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May have been a little
ambitiously spotted in the Open ranks, but she should fit well here against a
small crew even though she is taking on the boys. Has been holding her own against some tough
fields. Must respect.
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6
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Don’t Fight the Law
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Classy veteran makes his
local debut for a barn we haven’t seen in quite some time. Takes a significant plunge in class as
well, and could be poised for a wakeup call.
Maybe.
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Race 2 Selections 2-8-1-3
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1
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Georgie Mae
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Made an early break in
overnight company on Sunday, and unfortunately only looks to be a player for
the minor awards after drawing back in against another heavy fav in #2.
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2
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Raring to Go
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With the exception of a
break in her last start in the $190k Kentuckiana at Indy, this filly has held
her own against some of the best in the country on the east coast. Looks to be quite a bit further along than
these.
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3
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Blue Valley
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Was offstride far behind the
gate Saturday, and now the trainer returns to the bike. Not sure if she is hard to handle or what
the issue is, but I know she has some talent when she minds her manners. Maybe underneath.
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4
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Follow My Dreams
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Perfectly driven behind the
runaway winner last time, and fended off her rivals late to pick up an easy 2nd. Appears to have hooked an even tougher
group here though, would need to improve even more.
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5
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I Know the Truth
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First time starter doesn’t
appear to pack the speed for these just yet.
True story.
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6
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Caribbean Dream
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Had a perfect trip following
#4 last time before tiring badly late.
Would take a complete turnaround.
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7
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Cowling Prk
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Hard to gage his OH fair
efforts, but this isn’t an easy group.
I’ll pass for now.
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8
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Creatine
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Beat older horses in the
very last stride to win his career debut.
Lands on the outside of a solid group here, but I suspect he will
continue to improve with each try.
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Race 3 Selections 3-6-7-4
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1
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Scootie Best Lou
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Turned things around a bit
last time to pick up 5th against a solid group, but things aren’t
going to get any easier here.
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2
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LadyBuckeye
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Outpaced down the lane in
the opening leg, and not sure she’s on the same level as the top fillies in
here.
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3
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Doc’s Hope
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Nailed in deep stretch last
time by a tough rival, but she draws in the opposite division from that one
this week. Likely to be a short price
once again, but any similar effort makes her the one to beat.
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4
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Cindy’s Flower
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We haven’t seen her in a few
weeks, and she has a scratched ‘sick’ in between. Not a great scenario, but she is forced to
finish well here or she will miss the $250k final. Your call.
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5
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Park Lane Crystal
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Kicked home well to pick up
a 3rd place finish in the opening leg, but lands in what is an
even tougher spot tonight. Yet to miss
the board in 7 tries this season, but needs her very best.
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6
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Poker Place
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She was drawing dead last
week after she never found room to race down the stretch against a couple of
nice fillies. Was a nice start over
the track, and she could improve even more in her 2nd local
try.
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7
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Keene Angelic
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Came first over with
authority to blow by her rivals as the heavy fav last time, but is facing
what appears to be a tougher field tonight.
Any similar effort should put her right in the mix though.
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Race 4 Selections 6-5-1-2
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1
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Kentucky All Star
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Didn’t have a lot of room to
race in that opening leg, but I’m not sure if it would have made a big
difference. Should sit close once
again after drawing the pole. Maybe
underneath.
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2
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Caribbean Girl
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Unleashed a solid final
panel to finish up an even 4th, only a half length behind #5. It looks wide open for the minor awards,
and she appears to be one of many with a chance.
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3
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Miss Daphne
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Held her own on the fair
circuit earlier this summer, but we haven’t seen her in over a month now and
the Q’fer wasn’t overly impressive.
I’ll watch this one.
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4
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Sandra’s onthebeach
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Like #1, this filly didn’t
have a lot of room to race in her last start, but it is still asking quite a
bit for her to take on a crew like this.
I’ll pass.
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5
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T B Beach Girl
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Got collared early by the
eventual winner after having the lead at the head of the lane, but I will
give her credit for digging in late and fending off her other rivals. She is the defending KYSS champ. Def fits.
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6
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Shawnee Dancer
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Note the barn change to team
Burke off what appears to be a private purchase. No question they had to come with a decent
sum to buy this one, and I’d expect them to be ready to collect on their
investment.
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7
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Hot Beach Girl
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Followed the eventual winner
last time, and couldn’t keep up with her down the lane. Not ready to hop back on board after
that.
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8
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Miss Lucy O
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Had a perfect trip behind #6
last time, and parlayed that into an even 4th place finish. One of many with a shot at the minor awards
in here if things worked out well again.
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Race 5 Selections 8-5-6-3
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1
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Zot
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No match for the top colts
last time, and it doesn’t appear that things will be any easier here. Pass.
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2
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Rapids N Currents
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Tired after a tough first
over journey in his last, and hooks another solid group here in round 2. Not sure he is ready for these.
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3
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Say It’s True
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Absolutely flying on the end
of it last time to get up in the final strides at 17-1! Steps up to take on some solid colts
tonight, but he continues to get better and better with each start. Maybe.
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4
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Sweet Ben
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Doesn’t look like a sweet
spot for Ben in only his 3rd career try.
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5
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Enrico As
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Nearly lasted while on the
lead last time, only to get mowed down by #3 in deep stretch. Has hit the board in 10 of 11 this year,
and I would expect him to sit close and get a nice trip. Must respect.
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6
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Quel Bourbon
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I loved this guy to get a
piece last time, and he came out to finish a solid 3rd behind
#8. That was by far the best start of
his career, and he should continue to improve. Anything close to that last effort puts him
in the mix.
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7
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Dusenberg
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Never really had a chance
last time after getting caught in the back, and he draws into what is
probably the toughest division again tonight.
Should be looking to rally late once again. Needs his very best.
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8
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Prayer Session
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I have seen him go some big
miles in banking over $308k in the last couple years, but I’m not sure any
have been better than the dazzling performance we saw from him last
week. Hard to go against after seeing
that!
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9
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Fusion Man
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Never really looked
comfortable before making the break last time, and now he needs a solid
finish to ensure he makes the final.
Has his work cut out from the far outside against this crew.
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Race 6 Selections 1-7-2-5 Pick 4 Starts Here See Ticket at the End
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1
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Jans Luck
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Nearing in on a million in
LT earnings, and has held her own against much tougher company recently in
PA. Appears well spotted in her local
debut. I’m on board.
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2
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Kilowatts Fantasy
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Used hard last time, and
still hung in well to finish up a nice 3rd against similar
company. Should get away well from the
inside, and be in line for a nice trip.
I’ll toss her back on the ticket.
Noble opted here over #8.
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3
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Dollys Joy
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Never really got worked into
the race from post 10 last time, but she may be a notch below the top ones in
here right now. Does have over $375k
in the bank though, a nice resume for a 4yo.
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4
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Dutz’s Charm
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Absolutely exploded by her
rivals late after a perfect trip to pick up her first win of the season. I’ll have to admit I didn’t quite see that
one coming. Can she follow it up with
another big effort? We’ll see.
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5
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Deo Gloria
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Asking a lot for a 3yo filly
to step up and take on older mares here in a tough spot. Certainly can’t dispute that she has been
RAZOR sharp since arriving locally though.
Will have to step it up even more.
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6
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Hereiam Coolwater
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Not much punch against
similar last time, and things aren’t going to get any easier here. Pass.
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7
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Keene Supreme
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A game try on the front end
last week to finish up a solid 2nd behind #4. Tyler Smith gets the call tonight, and I
would expect her to be setting sail to the top once again. Maybe.
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8
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Yndra Hanover
|
Jumps back up to take on
Open company after a tough trip in overnight last time. Lands on the far outside of a nice crew,
not sure I can endorse her against these.
Noble opted off for #2 instead.
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Race 7 Selections 2-5-1-7
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1
|
O’Rourke Three
|
Has held his own at this level
since arriving locally, and should sit close after landing on the pole in full
field. Anything similar to those
efforts put him in the mix once again.
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2
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Doc’s Zilla
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Absolutely annihilated a
field after getting parked a long way from post 10 in what was a GIANT
performance in his last. Makes his 2nd
local start tonight, no question he is the one to beat.
|
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3
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Do It Best
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Used hard last time, and
still managed to hold a distant 3rd behind #2. I’ve always liked this guy, but even I’m
willing to admit this may be a tad tough for him. I’ll wait for a better spot. Noble opted here over #5.
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4
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Duck Hook
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The Hook never really fired
last time after racing extremely well in his first local start 3 back. Lands in another tough group here, and will
certainly need his very best.
|
|
5
|
I Ota Win
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Showed some sneaky late pace
last time, and I think he may have been even better in there if he had gotten
worked into it sooner. Lands in a
perfect mid-pack post and the price will be right. Lots to like.
|
|
6
|
Unreal Appeal
|
Mare kicked into gear in
deep stretch and surged pass her rivals to pull off a 16-1 upset in her
last. A very nice mile there, but she
is stepping up to take on even better here.
I’ll watch this one.
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|
7
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Rocknroll Herman
|
Keep in mind he didn’t beat
all that much last time in our bottom class, but he certainly looked good
doing it. Trainer back in the bike
here, and I would expect another off the pace rally.
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|
8
|
Jen Finn
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Looks to be a tough spot for
OH invader, I’ll watch one first.
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9
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Shady Maple Bullet
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Tired late against similar
last time, and things aren’t going to get any easier here from post 9. I’ll pass.
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10
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EJ’s Pocket Rocket
|
Got the pocket part down
last time, but didn’t launch and finished a distant 6th as the
fav. He has had some success here in
the past, but it won’t be easy from way out here.
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Race 8 Selections 3-1-6-5
|
1
|
Awsome Valley
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I actually expected him to
race a little better last time, but he lands on the pole now in what appears
to be the easier of the 2 divs. Should
sit close once again. Maybe.
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|
2
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Wah-Kon-De
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Appears overmatched against
these. Pass.
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|
3
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Charming Dream
|
Followed the heavy fav last
time, and put in a solid effort to finish up a close 2nd. I would expect Mark Mac to throttle out here,
catch him if you can. Macdonald opted
here over #8.
|
|
4
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Horizon Ridge
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No match for the top colts
last time, and doesn’t appear to be on the same level as the top tier just
yet.
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5
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Master Host
|
Got away decently from
outside post in the opening leg, but was outsprinted by his rivals down the
lane. Maybe a tad easier here but
would still need to step it up quite a bit.
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|
6
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Louie the Fourth
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Absolutely perfect 2nd
over journey last week, but could only manage a 4th place
finish. I can only endorse him for the
minor awards after seeing that.
|
|
7
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Joyeux Dream
|
Held his own against some
decent colts last time, and continues to improve with each LT start. Still asking quite a bit to go with these
at this point.
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|
8
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Red Falkor
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Followed the eventual winner
last time and never fired. Hard to
jump on board after that. Pass.
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Race 9 Selections 7-6-9-4
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1
|
Abby
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Faded late after an
aggressive move back to the top, and now faces the best of the best in full
12 horse field. Should sit close, but
would need a LOT more.
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2
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Gotcha Girl
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Couldn’t have possibly
diagramed a better journey last time, and took advantage by finishing up 2nd
after following the eventual winner in #7.
Not sure things will work out that perfectly here in full field, but
she fits with these. Shetler opted
here over #6.
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3
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Dazzling Valley
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Followed #2 up in the flow
last time, and showed some improvement with a solid 3rd place
finish. Another that would have to
improve a lot taking on the best of the best tonight though. Magee opted to #4 instead.
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4
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Lindme yoruvictory
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Picked off some tired ones
late to finish 3rd behind the runaway duo, and I would expect a
similar off the pace journey in full field tonight. Looks wide open for the minor awards. Magee opted here over #’s 3, 11, &
12.
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5
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Glad Glidings
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Didn’t have anything to
offer late in the opening leg, and things aren’t going to get any easier
here. Pass.
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6
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Gisela As
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Changed things up with the
early speed last time, but it worked out well as she reported home with a fairly
easy win. She was the runner up in
last year’s $250k final to #7, could be déjà vu all over tonight.
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7
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Northern Miss Hall
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Coasted home to an EASY win
last time under no encouragement from her pilot whatsoever. I’m not sure there is anything that can go
with her in here, but won’t be as easy in full field of 12.
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8
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Northern Cindy
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Doesn’t appear to be on the
same level as her stablemate in #7.
Not tonight.
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9
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Feel the Pressure
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I don’t think there is any
question that she will be blasting early from post 9, and we got to see her
race from just off the pace in finishing 2nd in the opening
leg. One of many with a shot at the
minor awards.
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|
10
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American Saint
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Very disappointed in her
opening leg loss, as she was no match for the challenge of #7. Will be interesting to see what she elects
to do from post 10. It won’t be
easy.
|
|
11
|
Serene Lady
|
Thought she had a big shot
at the minor awards behind the fav last time, but she was offstride well
before the start. Not typically a fan
of 2nd tier trotters, especially ones with breaking issues. Magee opted to #4 instead.
|
|
12
|
Delmary
|
Trotted evenly in the
opening leg, but things are going to get even harder tonight in the full
field from the 2nd tier.
Asking quite a bit to go with these.
Magee opted to #4 instead.
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Race 10 Selections 4-8-6-7
|
1
|
Dew Drop Dolly
|
Lightly raced 7yo hasn’t had
a lot of luck since arriving locally, and lands in another tough group
tonight. I’ll pass. Magee opted to #4 instead, I’ll do the
same.
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|
2
|
Rome
|
Gelding has had some of his
best efforts over this surface, but ships in tonight after a 75 day layoff
and it would be asking quite a bit for him to go with these at first
asking. I’ll watch one first.
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|
3
|
Lockup Jazz
|
Parlayed a perfect pocket
ride into a 2nd place finish last time, but steps up to take on an
even tougher group tonight. Not sure
she is ready for these just yet.
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4
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Like A Dream
|
Has been facing far tougher
company in Indy, and classy veteran appears poised for a big wakeup call in
his first local try. I’m on board. Magee opted here over #’s 1 & 8.
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5
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Sand Allistar
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Crushed a lesser crew, but
is another that is taking a large step up to tango with some decent trotters
here. Needs even more. Noble opted to #6 instead.
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6
|
Northern Photo
|
OH invader drops in locally
after taking on some tough overnight company at Scioto
recently. Should improve with the
stretch out to the big track. I could
make a case. Noble opted here over
#5.
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7
|
Felipe Makaay
|
Didn’t have much to offer in
his last at Indy, but this guy has had some success over this track in the
past as well. He certainly fits with
these, and any smooth journey should put him right in the mix.
|
|
8
|
Paris Pike
|
Added lasix in the AM, and I
will have to say that she looked VERY good in the blowout Q’fer. Only 1 for 20 LT, but she could be rounding
the corner now. I’ll use her
underneath. Magee opted to #4
instead.
|
Race 11 Selections 6-9-10-8
|
1
|
Dragon Spike
|
Raced evenly in his first
local start, but steps up to take on full 10 horse field tonight. Should sit close from the pole, but will
have to find a way to hang around late.
|
|
2
|
Yakkity Yak Jack
|
Overmatched in his last
start, and things aren’t going to get any easier here. Pass.
|
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3
|
Doc’s Zippy
|
Finished up right where I
had him pegged last time, and that wasn’t a bad effort for him at all. Appears to be a notch below the top colts,
but maybe a shot at the minor awards once again.
|
|
4
|
Sgt Matt
|
Well beaten by #6 after a
ground saving journey last time, and is another that appears just a notch
below the top colts in here.
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5
|
Bugsy Malone
|
Perfect trip behind #6 last
time, and he parlayed that into a distant 2nd place finish. Not sure things will work out that
perfectly here. I’ll look
elsewhere.
|
|
6
|
Bolt the Duer
|
Absolutely wrapped up in
blowout win in leg 1, and should have no trouble once again. We’ll get to see the main event next week
when he takes on Thinking Out Loud for $250k!
Put a circle around him for now.
|
|
7
|
Jimmy Rip
|
Doesn’t appear ready for
these just yet. Pass.
|
|
8
|
Heavenly Beaches
|
Grinded up past his other
rivals last week after coming first over to finish a distant 3rd. That mile was much better than it appears
on paper, but he hooks a couple of other rivals as well besides only #6 this
week.
|
|
9
|
Caviart Key
|
A solid runner up finish
last week, and he appears to be clearly 2nd best on paper once
again. It won’t be easy from way out
here, but I would expect TS to put him in play early once again.
|
|
10
|
Partner
|
Aggressively handled in his
local debut, and there is no question that he will have to be handled
aggressively once again from post 10.
No match for #6, but a major player for the minor awards.
|
Race 12 Selections 8-5-6-4
|
1
|
Sweet Valentine
|
Filly hasn’t been firing in
OH recently, and I’ll have to see some improvement before jumping on
board.
|
|
2
|
Sandbar Slugger
|
Came to a quick halt last
time after being pressed early, and this guy continues to puzzle me. He has shown the ability to go with these,
but hasn’t been any good in 2 local tries.
I’ll look elsewhere.
|
|
3
|
KB’s Brock
|
Steps up to take on a decent
crew here, and appears to be one of many with a chance in wide open
field. Continues to improve with each
local start, but will need even more improvement against these.
|
|
4
|
Mexicali Rose
|
Dominated a lesser crew in
her first local try, and appears to fit with these even with the step up
tonight. I would expect Shehan to put
her in play early once again.
|
|
5
|
Ab’s Beach Boy
|
Appears to be turning the
corner, and might be ready to pop here in his 4th start back on
the season. If he was anywhere close
to 100%, it would be a long night for the rest of these.
|
|
6
|
Presidential Sam
|
Raced evenly against
claiming company in his first local try, and lands in a wide open group where
he appears to fit well tonight. Any
smooth journey should put him right in the mix.
|
|
7
|
Here Kitty Kitty
|
Tired badly on the lead in
her last, and only has one 3rd to show for 18 trips to the gate
this season. I’ll wait until we see
her show some signs of improvement.
|
|
8
|
Ndana Favorite
|
10yo has made very few
appearances over the last couple of seasons, but he has typically made the
most of those few efforts. Q’fer
appears solid, and he is likely the biggest wildcard of the crew. Price should be right.
|
|
9
|
Blissful Knight
|
Not much luck against
similar company in OH, and has his work cut out from post 9. I’ll pass for now.
|
Race 13 Selections 7-2-4-5
|
1
|
Miss DW Chip
|
Have to give credit where
credit is due, and this mare cut a nice mile to win this class last week
under pressure for a lot of the way.
Lands on the inside, but appears to be facing a much tougher crew
tonight.
|
|
2
|
Frozen Assets
|
Made a break and lost a LOT
of ground last week, only to get back down and come absolutely flying on the
outside to come up only a nose short.
Mile was even better than it looks on paper.
|
|
3
|
Patty Says So
|
Trotted evenly to finish up
4th behind #1, but lands in quite the shark tank tonight. I’ll wait for a better spot.
|
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4
|
Red Rocks
|
Absolutely dominated in his
only local start 2 back, and I would expect O’Mara to blast early once
again. Should sit close, and certainly
fits with these.
|
|
5
|
Blueridge Legacy
|
Has been beaten as a short
price in his last couple, and after seeing the 0 for 19 record on the season
I’m beginning to think he always finds a way to lose. Underneath only.
|
|
6
|
Viking Mia
|
Not sure Mia is ready to go
with these just yet. Pass.
|
|
7
|
D’orsay
|
Completely wrapped up in her
local debut, in a field where she was much the best. Typically a tough task for a 3yo filly to
take on older males, but she packs plenty enough speed if she minds her
manners.
|
Race 14 Selections 6-1-7-2
|
1
|
Real or Magic
|
Never wanted to get beat
last week, coming up short only a nose to #7 after a tough first over trip
for 5/8’s of a mile. Should be in line
for a nice journey tonight from the inside post.
|
|
2
|
Real Hanover
|
Didn’t have a lot of pop on
the end of it last time, but should be able to sit much closer tonight and
could be able to pick up one of the minor awards late. Your call.
|
|
3
|
Crime Scene Cruzer
|
Perfect ground saving
journey last time, but could only pick up 4th. Things aren’t going to get any easier
against these.
|
|
4
|
Chuck Hull
|
OH invader lands in against
a tough crew for his local debut. I’ll
watch one first. Noble opted to #7
instead.
|
|
5
|
Papaknowsbest
|
Perfect trip behind #7 last
time, but ended up tiring late to finish 6th. If he didn’t fire off that, I’m not sure he
can go with these. Noble opted to #7
instead.
|
|
6
|
Mcstraight
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Recently moved over $200k in
earnings, and has been razor sharp against top overnight company in Columbus. Not an easy group, but barn typically does
well here.
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7
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Jagger Blue Chip
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Showed some heart to dig in
and fend off #1 by the slimmest of margins in last week’s Open. That’s 3 straight very tough miles on him
though, and he is going to need his absolute best once again tonight.
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Race 15 Selections 5-6-7-9
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1
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Blueridge Tebow
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Looks like a tough spot for
Tebow, plus he has missed 45 days.
I’ll watch one first.
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2
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Annrenee
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Hung in there to only get
beat a couple of lengths after a tough first over grind against similar
company last time. No question a
tougher group here, but any smoother journey should put her in the mix.
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3
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Silk Sneakers
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Lands in a solid crew for
her local debut. I’ll watch her go
around the track once first.
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4
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Ashley Force
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A nice job by Bolon to get
her back on stride after a break in her last, which resulted in another
win. Takes a big step up tonight, but
she should continue to improve.
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5
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Country Strong
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Absolutely RAZOR sharp since
arriving in town, and sprinted away to another big win last time. Steps up to take on straight NW with no tag
here, but his best puts him in play.
Noble opted to #6 instead.
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6
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Jate O’del
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Kept grinding last time
after it appeared he might be in trouble, and wore down the early leaders to
score his first win for the new connections.
Appears to finally be on the right track. Noble opted here over #’s 5 & 7.
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7
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Radical Cam
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Had absolutely nowhere to go
last time or he would have won in my opinion.
He got beat by #9 in here that night, and #9 came right back to win
again. Always a good sign. Should continue to improve in 3rd
start in ’12.
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8
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Springhouse Rebel
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Typically closes well when
he is chasing other horses, and he finished up a nice 2nd behind
#6 last time. Likely will be coming
from far back here, but any smooth journey gives him a shot once again.
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9
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Mobil Big John
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In career best form after
winning in lifetime best performances in his last couple of starts, but faces
what appears to be an even tougher group tonight from post 9. Your call.
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10
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Kinda Flighty
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Hasn’t had a lot of punch
since arriving locally, and gets slammed with post 10 on top of it. Pass.
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$1 Pick 4 (Races 6 – 9)
Race
6 – 1, 7
Race
7 – 2
Race
8 – 1, 3
Race
9 – 7
Total Ticket Cost - $4
LOCK OF THE NIGHT: RACE 11 #6 BOLT THE DUER (1-1 ML)
LONGSHOT OF THE NIGHT: RACE 12 #8 NDANA FAVORITE (12-1 ML)
YOU CAN VIEW THESE RACE SELECTIONS
ONLINE AT THEREDMILE.COM! CLICK ON
‘GABE’S PICKS’ UNDER THE MEDIA TAB!
CHECK OUT REPLAYS FROM ALL OF THE RACING
ACTION HERE AT THE RED MILE!
YOUTUBE.COM/THEREDMILERACETRACK
HAVE FUN – WIN MONEY!
KYSS ‘NIGHT OF CHAMPIONS’
$2 MILLION IN PURSES
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 9TH
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