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Thursday, August 30, 2012
User:
jsorrell
Date: 8/28/2012 11:18 am
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Red Mile Race Reviews
Thursday, August 30th
Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt
Race 1 Selections 1-2-3
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1
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Ohmybelle
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Came first over and went by
#2 fairly easily to win the opening leg, and is now 8 for 9 in her brief
career. Should be interesting to see how
things set up here in leg 2. No
question she is the one to beat.
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2
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Diligent Prospect
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Got away without any
pressure for the majority of the mile last time on the lead, but couldn’t
fend off #1 late. Not a bad try, and
any similar effort puts her squarely in the mix once again.
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3
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So Nice
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A perfect scenario for her 1st
LT start, she sat on #2’s back the entire way and sprinted home late to
finish up a game 3rd. She
should continue to improve in only her 2nd career start. More aggressive try tonight?
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4
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KZ Beach Girl
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Finished 4th as
the odds on favorite last time, but I wouldn’t be too hard on her after
sitting last through a pretty soft ¾’s of a mile. Sprinted home right with the pack. Maybe.
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5
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Caribbean Treasure
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Not sure she is on the same level
as her rivals to the inside, but she finished up with a nice even effort last
time as well to be 5th.
Things won’t get any easier here though.
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Race 2 Selections 8-5-1-2
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1
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Kijafa
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Came first over against the
eventual winner who is an extremely nice filly, and still managed to hang on
for a nice 2nd. Picks up
the services of PW tonight as well, should continue to improve in her 3rd
career try.
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2
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Dana Boko
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Couldn’t hold off the
closers last time after an aggressive move to the top, but this filly has yet
to miss the board in 3 LT tries including 2 against stakes company. Maybe a touch easier spot tonight as
well.
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3
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Expressive Victor
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Added hobbles for her last
try and she managed to pick up a decent 3rd. No question she should continue to improve,
but I’m not sure she packs the speed to hang with the top ones in here just
yet.
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4
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Classact Volo
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Made a break in her only
local appearance after the filly inside of her made a break behind the gate
as well. I’ll have to watch her put in
a clean effort before jumping on board.
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5
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Dewey Lane
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Made a break and lost a ton
of ground, yet incredibly got back down to wind up only a couple of lengths
off the lead around the far turn. All
that took it’s toll late for a distant 4th place finish. Will she stay flat here?
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6
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MarysMaster
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Still doesn’t appear to pack
the speed to hang with the top ones.
Pass.
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7
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Reve Encore Dream
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Made a break as a big
longshot last time, and likely retains longshot status here. Pass.
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8
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Delmot
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The pressure is on after
making a break in the opening leg, she would need a nice finish here to
ensure a spot in the final. Appears to
have landed in a soft enough crew, and lands Tetrick as well. I’ll take a shot.
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Race 3 Selections 1-7-6-3
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1
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Caveat Emptor
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Had the benefit of a lot of
breakers in his local debut, but he couldn’t have looked anymore impressive
in a dominating score under no encouragement.
Lands on the pole once again.
Lots to like.
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2
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Sharpshot Hall
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Made a break while on the
lead last time, and lands in quite the shark tank here. I’ll pass for now.
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3
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Swiss Alps
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A nice even effort in the 1st
start of his career, but he hooks an overly tough group here in his 2nd
KYSS try. Would have to pick it up
quite a bit to go with these.
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4
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Alfredo Dream
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Hooked a couple of very nice
colts in that last one, and ended up with an even 4th place
finish. Unfortunately, he hooks
another tough group here as well!
Continues to improve with each start, needs his very best.
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5
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Howdy Dewey
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I was on board last time, and
he failed to fire off what ended up being a nice trip. It still was the fastest he has trotted in
his life, maybe I was expecting a little too much. Things won’t get any easier here though.
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6
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Mystical Dew
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Wow! Undefeated colt raced a bit green last time
but powered by for an easy win in the opening leg. Probably already locked up a spot in the
$250k final, how aggressive will TS be with him here?
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7
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Here’s Johnny
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Broke right after the start
in the opening leg, and now Johnny is forced to be 1-2 tonight or he will
likely not be hereeeeeee for the $250k final.
I’m expecting an aggressive attempt.
Should be close if he minds his manners.
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Race 4 Selections 2-6-5-1
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1
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Blue Diamonds
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Had the benefit of a couple
of breakers in the opening leg, but at the end of the day ended up an even 4th
behind a top filly. Would have to pick
things up quite a bit to go with the favs in here.
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2
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MaChere Hall
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Added hobbles in the opening
leg, and absolutely exploded away from her rivals when she shook loose about
midway down the lane. That was
impressive! I’m on board once again
tonight.
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3
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Right Away
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Tired after an aggressive
attempt from post 9 last time, I’m not sure if she’s ready to go with the top
ones in here right away.
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4
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Redur beautiful
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Trotted evenly against a
tough group, but appears to have landed in against another solid crew
tonight. I’ll wait for a better
spot.
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5
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Mergatroid
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Never got through into very
late last time, and it probably cost her 2nd behind the runaway
winner. No question still a very nice
try in her 2nd career start.
Should continue to improve.
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6
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Simone Hall
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Absolutely went to the front
and romped in her local debut.
Granted, it wasn’t an overly tough group she faced there but she
couldn’t have possibly looked any better.
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7
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Don’tcheat onafilly
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Tough trip last time, but
she ended up throwing in the towel very early. Would take a complete turnaround to compete
with these.
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8
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Doc’s Crystal
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A decent even effort last
time to be 5th, but moves from the pole to the far outside. Looks like a tough spot for her here.
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Race 5 Selections 7-2-3-6
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1
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Zoli
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Finally minded his manners
in the AM after several attempts with hobbles. Not sure he is ready for these. Pass.
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2
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Dewycolor intheline
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Lands back in against his
main rival #7, who beat him in the opening leg. I am sure Schnittker will be putting him in
play early once again. May end up
sitting on #7’s back this time. Can he
turn the tables?
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3
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Southwind Metallic
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Impressive 3rd
place finish last time, after being handled fairly conservatively handled
after making breaks in his 2 prior starts.
Not sure he can beat the top two, but any similar effort should be
good for a minor award.
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4
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Blueridge Adiram
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Overmatched against many of
these same rivals last time, don’t see things getting any easier here.
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5
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Glamrocker
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Never in it after the early
break last time, and doesn’t appear to pack the speed to hang with these
regardless.
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6
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Alejandro Hall
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Made a break early last
time, but actually finished 5th after many of his rivals made
breaks as well. If he minds his
manners, he could be a player for the minor awards in here as well.
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7
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Banco Solo
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I am well aware he had a
nice trip behind #2 last time, but he glided by him with ease down the lane
and I was over impressed. I’m not sure
we have seen anywhere near his best yet.
Banking on another big effort tonight.
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Race 6 Selections 3-6-2-5 Pick 4 starts here See ticket at the end
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1
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Doriun
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Raced evenly against similar
company at Springfield,
but was scratched sick from her last in Chi-town. An absolutely WIDE open race to kick off
tonight’s Pick 4! Your call.
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2
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Perfect Truth
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Showed some sneaky late pace
in the last one to finish up 5th and this filly continues to
improve with each and every start.
Truthfully, she can go with anything in here. Maybe.
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3
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Real Impressive
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Where did that last effort
come from? Filly is 0 for 20 in her
career, but she came up only a neck short of pulling off a major 44-1 shocker
last time! Anything close to that puts
her in the mix once again.
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4
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Ellie’s Best Dream
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Faded badly against some
tough company in Indy last time, but her first start there wasn’t bad at
all. She lands in what appears to be a
comfortable spot in only her 3rd career start. Any improvement puts her in the game.
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5
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Jack N Water
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Launched a first over attack
against the eventual winner last time, and ended up tiring a bit late to
finish up a close 5th.
Another that could make some noise with any smoother journey.
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6
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Real Party
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Another that had some sneaky
late pace last time, and I have no doubt that if she is worked into the race
sooner that she could crash the party and win it. Again, it’s WIDE open.
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7
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Tundra
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No threat in his only local
try. Retains longshot status. Pass.
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8
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Fudge Brownie
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One of those sounds good
about now… Lightly raced 7yo has held his own on IL fair circuit, but I’ll
make him prove it here on the big track before hopping on board.
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9
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Indy Shooter
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A nice local Q’fer for top
connections, but TS is going to have to find a way to work him into the race
from way out here. Won’t be easy, but
he certainly fits with these.
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10
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Billtown Road
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Was offstride far behind the
gate as the heavy fav last time, and now the question is how aggressive will
Loney be after that from post 10? My
guess is…. Not very.
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Race 7 Selections 4-6-8-2
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1
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Loveswept
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Added lasix for her stakes
try, but appeared to be overmatched in that spot. Still needs to find a way to find some more
stamina before I’m falling in love.
Noble opted to #4 instead.
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2
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Victoria Valley
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Ended up with an absolute
perfect trip following the eventual winner last time, and parlayed that into
a decent 3rd place finish.
Should sit much closer from inside post. Your call.
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3
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Fort Riley
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Hasn’t been able to hold the
fort down locally. Pass.
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4
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B Q Bull
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Liked the Bull last time and
he made a break while moving. Barn has
been on quite a roll recently. I
suppose I will give him one more try here before looking elsewhere. Price should be okay.
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5
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Blueridge Classic
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Hasn’t been anywhere close
recently. Pass.
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6
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Duck Crossing
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Saved ground en route to a 6th
place finish last time, but that was a decent effort against a solid group of
stakes fillies. Lands in a much more
comfortable spot here, but likely to be overbet off that.
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7
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Tickle Me Grace
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Fired out for an unpressured
lead last time as the fav, but couldn’t get the job done and faded to 4th
late. I’m not convinced she does her
best work on the lead. I would expect
an off the pace rally again here.
Maybe.
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8
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Klassic Kanidate
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Held 3rd after
following a heavy fav last time, and I was fairly impressed with that
try. Yet to win this year, but she has
hit the board in 9 of 11. No question
Kravchak should put her in play early once again.
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9
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Marisela
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Offstride far behind the
gate in her last attempt, and I’m not sure what to think now. She has the ability to go with these on her
best day, but just doesn’t appear to be heading in the right direction.
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10
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Southwind Tufts
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Has endured some breaking
problems throughout his brief career, and gets slammed with post 10 as
well. I’ll watch one first.
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Race 8 Selections 1-9-3-4
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1
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Blueridge Hall
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Barn has been heating up
recently, but this guy tired badly after making an aggressive first over move
in his last. Drops into our bottom
condition once again and lands on the pole.
That could help him turn things around.
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2
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Docdor Harvey
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The docdor wasn’t prescribed
a very good trip in his local debut, and we essentially learned absolutely
nothing from that mile. I’ll watch
another one first.
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3
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It’s Fun
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Followed the eventual winner
last week, and the mare that beat her came back to win again. No question she fits with these, but with a
short price looming I may look elsewhere.
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4
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Boodro
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Closed from last to finish 3rd
last time, but was far behind #3 in that one.
Should be sitting much closer from mid-pack post tonight, and should
continue to improve in his 4th start back on the year.
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5
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Bad Girlfriend
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Hasn’t had anything to offer
late after getting caught up in a couple of big miles recently. Should be better spotted here, but would
still need to pick it up quite a bit.
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6
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By the Sea Sally
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No punch on the end of it
last time, needs a lot more.
Pass.
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7
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Scootnick Bodeen
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An even effort to finish up
5th last time, but quite honestly I was expecting a bit more after
he sat in the back and had a nice pace to close into. Appears to be a softer crew tonight
though. Your call. Stiltner opted to #9.
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8
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Misconception
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Never fired last time. I’ll pass for now.
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9
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Beach Bandit
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Only beaten 4 lengths last
time against a fairly solid group.
Keep in mind he had been on the shelf a long time prior to this
year. Might finally be getting back
into shape. I can make a case. Stiltner opted here over #7.
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10
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West Coast Arturo
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Lands on the outside here,
but is making her first appearance in our bottom condition. She certainly has enough early speed to
overcome the post if Jerrell elects to step on the gas. Maybe.
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Race 9 Selections 7-5-2-8
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1
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RocknRoll Fever
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Had a perfect trip after
appearing to have the field over a barrel last time and never fired
whatsoever. Only 1 for 34 last 2
years. I wasn’t impressed, and am
certainly not coming back at another short price here.
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2
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Defying Gravity
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Dominated in a much softer
spot last time in Cleveland,
and may come back down to earth here against a solid group of overnight company. Will need his very best. Smith opted here over #5.
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3
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Sempre Ribera
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Hasn’t had a lot to offer
after some ground saving journeys in his last several tries, and things
aren’t going to get any easier against these.
Pass.
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4
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Primrose Path
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Wasn’t able to keep up with
the top pack last time, and lands in a similar group here. Not tonight.
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5
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E R Prince Charmin
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Appeared to be home free
last time, only to get nailed in the last strides. Still not a bad effort, and KB will have
plenty of options from mid-pack post.
Maybe. Smith opted to #2
instead.
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6
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Mor Storms Coming
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Hasn’t been able to hang
with the $2.5k claimers, and hooks a solid crew in conditioned company
tonight.
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7
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Sexy Smile
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Got caught in the back in
the FFA only to be hopelessly pinned in down the lane, and lands in against
mainly boys here in mid-level overnight company. Has a ton of early speed if Kravchak elects
to use it. She fits with these, no
reason she couldn’t win it.
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8
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Blue Punch
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Didn’t fire after getting
parked every step last time, and takes a slight drop into what should be an
easier crew here. Still needs his very
best punch. Noble opted to #10
instead.
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9
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King’s Lightning
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Rallied from the back last
time to finish 4th, and that appears to be how things will set up
once again from post 9 here. I’ll wait
until he lands in a better spot.
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10
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Dugan Run Dream
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Raced evenly against similar
company on Sunday, and now gets slammed with post 10 in a competitive
crew. Doesn’t appear to have a lot of
early speed, and will likely have to do it from last. Noble opted here over #8.
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Race 10 Selections 8-3-6-2
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1
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Homestake
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Worked in a start at
Balmoral in between legs where he raced evenly, but I must say I was
disappointed with his local try when he didn’t fire as the fav off an
absolutely perfect trip 2 back. I
can’t endorse after that.
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2
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A List
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Battled the eventual winner
after being left first over last time, before fading and finishing 5th. Nothing wrong with that mile, but hooks a
tough group in full 11 horse field.
Needs his very best. DN opted
here over #5.
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3
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Derby Dylan
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Dylan just keeps getting
better and better with each start. He
nearly pulled off the 68-1 upset last time, and he has a wicked late
kick. I’m still not sure we’ve seen
his best yet. I’m on board.
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4
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Nutmegs Maya
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Finished up a close 3rd
in the opening leg, but I wasn’t overly impressed with the effort that night. Things aren’t going to get any easier in
full field here.
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5
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Kenzie’s Beach Boy
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Aggressively handled with an
early challenge to the leader from the pocket, only to be outpaced down the
lane in the opening leg. Not sure he
is on the same level as the favs in here.
Noble opted to #2 instead.
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6
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Duel in the Sun
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A solid local debut to
finish up 2nd behind #8, and he is yet to miss the board in 5 LT
starts. I would expect PW to put him
in play early once again. Big
shot.
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7
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Jude Hall
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Well timed move to the top
for the lone Southwind Lynx colt in the group, as he was able to fend off his
rivals late for the win. Not sure
things are going to work out that perfectly here, but he certainly fits.
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8
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Blatantly Best
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Absolutely blasted by #6 in
deep stretch for an easy win, as he unleashed a sizzling final quarter to get
the job done in hand. Still undefeated
in 3 career starts. Must respect. Miller opted here over #1.
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9
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Talk It Up
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Raced much better than I
could’ve ever expected to finish up 3rd behind a couple of nice
colts in opening leg. Certainly has
hit work cut out though after drawing post 9 in field of 11. I’ll pass.
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10
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Summons
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Lands on the far outside of
an overly tough crew. Not
tonight. Tetrick opted to #3
instead.
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11
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Soda Pop
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Not sure what happened last
time, but he couldn’t keep up with the top colts in there. I do think he is better than that, but
still a tough task to make any major noise against a solid crew tonight.
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Race 11 Selections 8-2-1-6
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1
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Little Bitty Lies
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Finished up a solid 2nd
to #8 last time, but I’m not gonna lie… She’d still have to pick it up quite
a bit to challenge for the win.
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2
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Andie Sophia
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Couldn’t have possibly
looked any better in her career debut in the opening leg, as she sprinted away
from her rivals under little asking. A
LOT of talent here, but is she seasoned enough to beat #8 right now?
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3
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Caneel Hall
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Saved ground to pick up 2nd
last time as the fav, and appears to have landed in an even tougher group
here. I’ll try her underneath only
against these.
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4
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V Six
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Ended up a distant 2nd
in the opening leg, but would have to pick things up quite a bit to hang with
this crew.
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5
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Runway Beauty
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Trotted evenly in her career
debut, but doesn’t appear to pack the speed to hang with the top ones in this
group just yet. I’ll wait for a better
spot. Wrenn opted to #2 instead.
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6
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Fanfan Dream
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Continues to improve with
each start, and parlayed a perfect trip behind the eventual winner into a 3rd
place finish last time. The problem is
she draws in against the 2 that beat her and some others here. Needs even more.
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7
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Paris Hall
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Finished up far behind #2
last time, and hooks an even tougher group here. Pass.
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8
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True Day Dream
|
Simply strolled around the
track to pick up her 4th consecutive victory, and there is no
question O’Mara will be pointed to the lead once again. She’s the one to beat again!
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9
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Déjà Vu Too
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Offstride far behind the
gate in her local debut, for a filly that has suffered several breaking
problems throughout her brief career.
Slammed with post 9 in a tough group as well. Not a good recipe.
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Race 12 Selections 1-4-8-7
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1
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Voodoo Victor
|
Never fired in a very tough
spot from post 9 last time, but lands on the pole in what appears to be a
much more comfortable group here.
Picks up the services of Tetrick as well. Barn been on a roll. Live longshot? Yes.
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2
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Tornado
|
Didn’t race badly in his
career debut, but keep in mind there were several breakers in the field which
certainly aided his 3rd place finish. Should continue to improve here in his 2nd
LT try. Maybe.
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3
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Il Pizzaiolo
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Regally bred colt finished
up with an even 4th place finish in his local debut, and that
certainly was a step in the right direction.
Not an overly tough group here, any further improvement puts him right
in the mix.
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4
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Penn
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Finished up 3rd
behind a couple of extremely nice colts last time, and hooks a much softer
group tonight than he faced in that one.
Any similar effort puts him very close. Christensen opted to #6 instead.
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5
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Royaltyn Howe
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Never in it after an early
break last time, I’ll wait until we see some improvement.
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6
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Dewey Luvs Britt
|
Couldn’t keep up with the
fav last time but still managed to hold 2nd. There were several breakers in the field
though which helped his cause. He may
be overbet after that as well. I’ll
look elsewhere. BC chose over #4.
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7
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Held in Balance
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Came first over from way
back in the opening leg, and he actually didn’t race badly at all given how
tough the group was that he faced. Any
smoother journey could land him on the ticket at a nice price.
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8
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Deweytrot andhowe
|
Really rounded the corner
with a solid 2nd place finish behind the fav last time as a 40-1
outsider. Won’t be anywhere near that
price tonight, but a similar effort should put him close once again.
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Race 13 Selections 9-4-3-7
|
1
|
Moma Jean’s Crown
|
Added lasix last time but
that didn’t appear to resolve the stamina issues. I’ll pass for now.
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2
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Holligram
|
Another that has had some
severe stamina problems recently. Not
tonight.
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3
|
Perfect Beauty
|
Tired late in the $15k KYSS,
but lands in a much more comfortable spot tonight. Should sit close once again, and appears to
have a big shot against these.
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4
|
Herculotte Hanover
|
Well bred 2yo took a Q’fer
at Scioto last time on an off track, and
this could be a prep for the Kindergarten Series that begins here in
September. Appears to have some talent
if she minds her manners.
|
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5
|
Coyote’s Dream Queen
|
Tired late against similar
company last time, would need a lot more here. Pass.
|
|
6
|
VR’s Space shuttle
|
Recent additions of hobbles
and lasix appeared to help things out for a 2nd place finish at
Duquoin, but she would still need to pick it up quite a bit to hang with the
top ones in here.
|
|
7
|
Lil Miss Brinley
|
I must admit that I
dismissed this filly without giving her a 2nd look on Sunday, and
she came charging on the end of it to finish up a very close 2nd. Not sure where that came from, but I liked
what I saw.
|
|
8
|
Total Enjoyment
|
Q’fed evenly behind #9, but
it’s asking a lot for the lightly raced filly to be able to go with these in
her first start off the shelf and only her 2nd start of the
season. I’ll watch one first.
|
|
9
|
Mrs Mrs Jones
|
Local Q’fer was solid, and
anything similar to those east coast starts at The Big M would make her the
best in here. No question Tetrick will
have to spring forward off the gate from post 9. Must respect.
|
|
10
|
Leanto Scarlet
|
Made a break in her latest
attempt, and will likely be under conservative handling from post 10. Not sure I like how things set up for her
here against a decent group. I’ll wait
for a better spot.
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Race 14 Selections 7-5-4-1-10 10 CENT SUPER HI
FIVE
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1
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Keystone Nite Hawk
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Debuts for the 3rd
different barn for the 3rd straight start. Looked super 2 starts back, but didn’t look
to be the same horse last time. Which
Nite Hawk shows up here? Good
question. Smith opted to #4
instead.
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2
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Jaxx
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Tired late to finish a
distant 3rd after getting caught up in a quick early pace last
time. Probably the toughest crew he
has faced since arriving locally though.
Needs his very best. Smith
opted to #4 instead.
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3
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Blazing Tower
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I gave him a try last time,
and went down in blazes after he didn’t have much to offer against similar
company. I can’t endorse him back
after that.
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4
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Big City
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Perfectly driven last time,
and parlayed that into a nice win in a LT best. Should sit close once again, but hooks a
solid crew tonight in the final. Your
call. Smith opted here over #’s 1
& 2.
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5
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Little Water Tower
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Rallied to finish up a nice
3rd behind #4 last time at a big number. Not quite sure he will get that kind of
pace to chase again in here, but it is certainly possible I suppose. Barn has been on a roll!
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6
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Paul T
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Finally turned things around
a bit with a solid 2nd behind #7 last time, but would have to pick
it up even more to collect even a minor award in the ultra competitive group
he’s landed in tonight.
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7
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Fox Valley Michael
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Absolutely dominated with a
nearly 9 length romp against similar company in what was his first solid
start since arriving locally. If he is
anywhere near that good again, it’s going to be a long night for the rest of
these.
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8
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All is Saidand done
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Faded after a nice trip last
time, and I’m not sure he is ready to hang with the top ones in here either. Pass for now.
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9
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Fortune Road
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He is Un-fortunate in
landing post 9, especially against this crew.
Not tonight.
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10
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Heart’s Prince
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Has really rounded into form
since arriving locally, but has his work cut out for him in against a solid
group from way out here. He will be
blasting early. Catch him if you
can.
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$1 PICK 4 (RACES 6 – 9)
Race
6 – 2, 3, 5, 6, 9, 10
Race
7 – 4, 6
Race
8 – 1
Race
9 – 2, 5, 7, 8
Total Ticket Cost - $48
LOCK OF THE NIGHT: RACE 5 #7 BANCO SOLO (8-5 ML)
LONGSHOT OF THE NIGHT: RACE 12 #1 VOODOO VICTOR (10-1 ML)
YOU CAN VIEW THESE RACE SELECTIONS ONLINE AT THEREDMILE.COM! CLICK ON ‘GABE’S PICKS’ UNDER THE MEDIA TAB!
CHECK OUT REPLAYS FROM ALL OF THE RACING ACTION HERE AT THE RED
MILE! YOUTUBE.COM/THEREDMILERACETRACK
HAVE FUN – WIN MONEY!
KYSS ‘NIGHT OF CHAMPIONS’
$2 MILLION IN PURSES
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 9TH
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