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Thursday, October 4, 2012
User:
jsorrell
Date: 10/2/2012 1:33 pm
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Red Mile Race Reviews
Thursday, October 4th
Track Handicapper – Gabe Prewitt
Race 1 Selections 6-5-1-7
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1
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Let Her Rock
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($30k HB yearling) Followed
up an impressive career debut with a dull effort here last week. No question that she is a lot better than
that. I’m willing to give her another
shot.
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2
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Stars N Bars
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Showed some improvement with
a nice even effort behind #6 in LC action last week. Appears to be fairly wide open behind the
fav, any further improvement should put her in the mix.
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3
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Full Service
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($15k Lex yearling) Never in
it from outside post last week, and would still need to find a lot more
stamina to contend for any of the major awards.
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4
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Apple
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($140k Lex yearling –
highest AM filly sold in ’11) Well beaten in her career debut, and doesn’t
appear to pack the speed to hang with the top ones in here just yet
either.
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5
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Shared Account
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Picked off some rivals late
last time into an unbelievable 54.2 back half to finish 3rd. Should have served as a nice tightner after
the brief layoff, should be all systems go tonight for a barn that was on
fire last week.
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6
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Think Pink
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($75k HB yearling – highest
YC sold in ’11) I was on board for the win last time, and she appears to have
landed in what may be an even softer spot here. Grinded by down the lane, no reason she
can’t repeat.
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7
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Take Into Account
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May have been the only one
from the entire barn that didn’t fire her best effort last week, finishing up
well behind #6. She is better than
that, needs a big rebound. Campbell opted to her stablemate,
#5, instead.
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Race 2 Selections 4-8-2-1
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1
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Shared Past
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Solid 2nd place
finish behind #4 in her local debut last week, and anything similar should
put her close once again. Lands on the
pole again as well.
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2
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Fashion Athena
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Parlayed a perfect trip
behind the heavy fav and eventual winner into a close 4th place
finish last time. Lands in what may be
a touch easier spot here, but still needs her very best. Campbell
opted to #4 instead.
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3
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Caneel Hall
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($40k Lex yearling) Doesn’t
appear to pack the speed to hang with the top ones in here. Pass.
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4
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Time To Kill
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($25k Lex yearling)
Absolutely overloaded with trot last week down the lane, and finally found
clearance up the inside to knock off #1.
Survived a brief inquiry, would have won by many if she found room
earlier.
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5
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UF Tadys Donato
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($35k HB yearling) Trotted
evenly against tough crew in stakes action last week, but would still have to
pick things up quite a bit to contend for any of the major awards.
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6
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Morningstar
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Daughter of the $2 million
earner Passionate Glide, her older sister was a stakes winner here on
Sunday. This filly trotted home well
behind the two favs to pick up 3rd last week. Not an easy group here though. Pierce opted here over #8.
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7
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Sina
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Saved ground throughout last
time, but was unable to fend off #6 to finish 3rd. Would have to find a LOT
more to go with the top fillies in here.
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8
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Vintage Oaks
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Launched a first over attack
against #1 around the far turn in Bluegrass
last week, but had to settle for a close 5th after being unable to
grind by down the lane. Any smoother
journey should put her very close.
Pierce chose #6.
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9
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Ma Chere Hall
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($18k Lex yearling) Rode the
rail to a 4th place finish behind some nice fillies here last
week, but now slammed with post 9 against another solid crew. Mark Mac will have to find a way to work
her into the race. Your call.
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Race 3 Selections 4-6-3-2
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1
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Make Some Memories
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Towed into it perfectly last
week by the eventual winner, but was unable to surge by her rivals down the
lane and had to settle for 3rd.
Appears to be one of many with a shot at the minor awards. Campbell
opted here over #5.
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2
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Hobe Sound
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($50k Lex yearling) Made an
aggressive move to the top going to the half last time, and I was very impressed
by how she fought down the lane in only her 3rd LT start. Should continue to improve. Tetrick opted here over #3.
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3
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Aunt Caroline
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($82k HB yearling) Lost all
chance when she broke at the start last time, but I was fairly impressed that
she was able to pick off a few rivals from last into a 54.2 back half. Maybe underneath. Tetrick opted to #2 instead.
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4
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Power Pack Hanover
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($120k Lex yearling)
Couldn’t possibly have been anymore impressive in her career debut last week,
unleashing a wicked 54.2 back half while wrapped up down the lane. Must respect.
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5
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Royal Engagement
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Couldn’t keep up with #4
down the lane last week, would have to find a lot more to hang around for a
piece tonight. Campbell opted to #1 instead.
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6
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O Narutac Rockette
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($11k HB yearling) Left hard
from post 9 last time, and should be able to make the lead easier here in
smaller crew. Unfortunately lands in
against #4 again, might end up on her back here as well.
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7
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Caviart Savannah
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No match for #4 last time,
would take a complete turnaround here.
Pass.
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Race 4 Selections 2-1-3-5
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1
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Iwannabe justlikeu
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Dove down to the inside last
time and ended up finishing right on the line with #3 for 2nd. Should sit much closer from the inside
post, any similar effort should put her in the mix once again.
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2
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Mattwestern
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($10k Lex yearling) Didn’t
have much to offer from outside post against stakes fillies last week, but
now connections opt to drop in LC instead.
Overcame tough trip to win here on 9-13. Fits with these. Lachance opted to #5 instead.
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3
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Diligent Prospect
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($20k Lex yearling) Picture
perfect 2nd over journey last time, but couldn’t surge by the fav
down the lane. Over $93k in the bank
now, but still yet to win. Only maiden
in the field has plenty of runner up finishes.
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4
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All Perfect
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Decent 4th place
finish last time after the layoff, and is one of many that appear to have a
shot here in WIDE open crew.
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5
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Acquavella
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($45k Lex yearling) Never
worse than 2nd against some tough company earlier this summer at
The Big M, and now returns after almost 3 months on the shelf. Q’fer was decent. Is she ready to roll? Good question. Lachance opted here over #2.
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6
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Benearthe beach
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($60k HB yearling) Tired
badly late after an aggressive move here last week, and it’s possible that
she does her best work off the pace.
Had been solid prior.
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7
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Hippie Chic
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($8k Lex yearling) Raced
evenly in her local debut, but would still need to find more to contend for
any of the major awards.
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Race 5 Selections 1-4-9-8
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1
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To Dream On
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($200k HB yearling – highest
CW sold in ’11) I tried to beat her last week, and I think it’s safe to say
that I learned my lesson. A bit grabby
behind the gate, but no trouble in cruising to an easy score. Ton of talent.
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2
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Parlia Hanover
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($90k HB yearling) Showed a
lot of improvement last time, beaten less than 3 lengths although she failed
to pick up a check. No question she is
on the right track, but hooks a tough group here. Pierce opted to #8 instead.
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3
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Thistle Dhu
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($60k Lex yearling) Appeared
to relax much better on the front end in winning the LC last week as the fav,
but steps up to the major leagues to take on the best of the best here. I’ll wait for a better spot. YG opted to #1.
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4
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Handover Belle
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Unleashed a vicious rally
down the lane to finish up 2nd behind #1, and I would expect
similar tactics tonight for what will likely be a similar finish. ICE COLD 1-4!
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5
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Coffeecake Hanover
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($25k HB yearling) Made an
untimely break on the far turn while moving last week, but she appears to
have landed in quite the shark tank here.
Not today. Gingras opted to #1
instead.
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6
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Feather Your Nest
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Doesn’t appear ready for
this crew. Pass. Pierce opted to #8 instead.
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7
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Bull Spreader
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($20k Lex yearling) Doesn’t
appear to pack the speed for these.
Pass. Pierce opted to #8
instead.
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8
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Cupcake
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($35k Lex yearling) Trotted
evenly against #1 last time to finish a distant 5th, and would
still need to find some more speed to make any major noise against these. No cupcakes in this crew. Pierce chose over #’s 2, 6, & 7.
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9
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Royal Assets
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($45k HB yearling) Moves
from the pole all the way to the outside, and I would expect Schnittker to be
on the gas early from out here.
Finished up 2nd behind #1 in $354k MA on Hambo Day. I’ll use her under again.
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Race 6 Selections 8-4-7 Start of $10,000 Pick 4 See Ticket at the
end
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1
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Louise
Kemp
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($35k
Lex yearling) A couple of decent AM works locally, but I will watch the first
time starter go around the track once before hopping on board. Barn typically brings them along
slowly.
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2
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Rock
on Mermaid
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($8k
Lex yearling) Blew up the board with a distant 2nd place finish
here last week at 58-1. Likely retains
longshot status here, doesn’t appear to pack the speed to hang with the top
ones just yet.
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3
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Stirling Bonzai
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($40k
Lex yearling) Tired badly late after an aggressive move, stamina appears to
be the main issue thus far in her brief career. Would need a lot more against these.
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4
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My
America
Bi
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($30k
Lex yearling) Parlayed a perfect trip behind the eventual winner into a nice
2nd place finish here last week.
With Sugar is back in stakes action tonight, this should be a softer
spot. Must respect. Pierce opted to #7.
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5
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Vallas
Cowgirl
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($18k
HB yearling) Yet to hit the board in 5 LT starts, but she lands in what is
likely the softest crew she has faced thus far. Should end up with a nice journey from
perfect mid-pack post. Maybe.
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6
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Chakra
Hanover
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($7k
HB yearling) No match for the top trio last time, and lands in against a
couple of the rivals that beat her here.
Would need to improve even more.
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7
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Gliding
to Glory
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Rallied
from far back to pick up 3rd behind #4 last week, and any similar
effort should put her very close once again.
Certainly fits with these.
Pierce opted here over #4.
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8
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Pump
Me Up
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Barn
was on an absolute roll here in the opening week of GC action, and this filly
has been very competitive against overnight company on the smaller tracks in Canada. Should really improve with the stretch out
to the big track, and lands in what isn’t an overly tough group. Live longshot? I think so.
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Race 7 Selections 3-1-8-7
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1
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Blue
Diamonds
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($140k
Lex yearling – highest Dewey filly sold in ’11) Finally got back on track
with a solid 3rd place effort against similar company last
week. Lands on the pole in what isn’t
an overly tough group. Big shot. Lachance opted here over #3.
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2
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Perfect
Alliance
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($75k
Lex yearling) Finally minded her manners last time, but was no match for the
top ones in there. Likely to sit much
closer here from inside post, should continue to improve. Your call.
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3
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Herculotte
Hanover
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($40k
HB yearling) Not sure why she made the break last time, but I have been very
impressed with this filly locally.
Lands in a wide open crew here.
I’m willing to hop on board.
Lachance opted to #1 instead.
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4
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Windsun
Mohavi
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($27k
HB yearling) Didn’t have much to offer in her career debut, I’ll wait until
we see some improvement.
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5
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Lipstick
Rose
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Came
up empty down the lane here last week, would have to find a lot more against
these. Pass.
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6
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Rosie’s
Warrior
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($42k
HB yearling) Has been decent in 3 local starts, typically always contending
for the minor awards. I would expect
something similar again in here.
Maybe.
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7
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Lady
Likes Muscles
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Flashed
some improvement with a 2nd place finish last time, but she did
end up with a perfect journey after following the eventual winner
throughout. Not sure I’m ready to
accept a short price here.
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8
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Richesse
Oblige
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Made
an early break in big bulky field last week, but had been very good in her
Kindergarten starts prior. Does her
best work from off the pace, should be picking up the pieces late.
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Race 8 Selections 11-4-5-6
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1
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B
L Class Act
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We
get a curveball here in the Pick 4, with a full field here in the Billings! This guy was an easy winner here last week,
but this appears to be a bit tougher crew.
Should sit close from the pole.
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2
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TK’s
Karma
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Pilot
seems to have quite a bit of success, and this mare has been competitive
against decent overnight company this season in OH. Hard to ignore.
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3
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Sammy
Merlot
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Got
to follow #1 last time, but was unable to keep up with him late. Would need to find a lot more to contend
for any of the major awards.
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4
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Wolf’s
Jann
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Used
hard to make the lead here last week, and couldn’t fend off #1 down the
lane. Mare has been solid all season
against similar though, no question she should be blasting early once
again. Maybe. Pilot does well.
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5
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Witch’s
Magic Brew
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Driver
has hit the board in 13 of 14 this year!
Stamina appears to be the major issue with this mare though, not sure
she will have enough to get the job done against these.
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6
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Chinese
Cuisine
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I
believe that this is the most talented trotter in the field, but he doesn’t
like to win a lot. Lands in big bulky
field as well where a lot can go wrong.
Worth the risk at a short price?
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7
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Cabo
Blue
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OH
invader appears a notch or two below the top ones in here, would have to go
the biggest mile of his career to knock off the favs. Pass.
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8
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Keystone
Twilight
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Saved
ground but finished far behind #1 last time, would have to find a LOT more today from post 8. Hard to endorse him back in here.
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9
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Domi
Racer
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Has
had some breaking problems recently and lands way out in post 9 in big bulky
field. Not a great recipe.
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10
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Mr
Big Boy
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Chi-town
invader has some early speed and he will need it from way out here. Still asking a lot for him to hang on for a
piece against this crew. Not
today.
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11
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Its
Bush Time
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Pilot
always has a lot of success in the Billings,
and lands on a talented trotter today as well. Will have to find a way to work him into
the race from the 2nd tier, but any smooth journey puts him right
in the mix.
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Race 9 Selections 2-4-6-5
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1
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Speed
Dial
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Didn’t
have much success in LC action last week, and now lands in an ultra
competitive stakes crew today. Not
sure I can endorse her against these.
Pass. Jody J opted to #8
instead.
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2
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Mistery
Woman
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($102k
Lex yearling) I must admit that I am a huge fan of this filly! Came first over against one of the best
fillies around last time and still dug in for a close 3rd. Should continue to improve in 4th
LT start.
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3
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Aspidistra
Hanover
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($50k
HB yearling) PASS runner up got in an all out slugfest down the lane with #6
last time before the two Hanover breds hit the line in a dead heat. Lands in a contentious group here. Needs her very best.
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4
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Frau
Blucher
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($21k
HB yearling) Yet to miss the board in 10 LT starts, and comes in to today
riding high on a 3 race win streak.
Sprinted home to an easier than it appears score last time. No doubt the one to beat.
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5
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With
Sugar
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($160k
HB yearling) Added hobbles prior to the LC last week, and that decision
appeared to pay off as she dominated that crew. Takes a big step up here and lands in the
deepest div. Needs even more
improvement.
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6
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Upfront
luckycarol
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Fought
#3 for the length of the stretch here last week before having to settle for a
dead heat. Has been solid against
stakes company all season. One of many
with a shot in competitive group.
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7
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Miss
Steele
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($22k
Lex yearling) Perfect trip behind #4 last time but had to settle for 3rd. Things aren’t going to get any easier here,
as she lands in against some tough fillies.
We can’t use them all.
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8
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Alphadoodle
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($85k
Lex yearling) Trotted home well after a perfect steer here last week to prove
that she could hang with the top level.
Unfortunately lands on the outside of an incredibly deep field
here. I’ll wait for a better
spot.
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Race 10 Selections 5-6-8-1-3 10 CENT SUPER HI FIVE
WAGERING
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1
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Fancy
Fern Yankee
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Made
a break while in the midst of a 3-wide move on the far turn last week, and
will likely be under conservative handling after 2 consecutive breaks. Should save ground and sit close.
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2
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Double
Dip
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($50k
HB yearling) Doesn’t appear to pack the speed necessary to hang with these. Pass.
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3
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Muscles
R Us
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($5k
Lex yearling) Trotted evenly again last time, and appears to be getting a bit
better with each and every start.
Still appears to be a notch or two below the favs in here.
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4
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Stacelita
Dream
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Hasn’t
proven that she can go with a field like this just yet. I’ll wait for some improvement.
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5
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Silver
Credit
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Super
in both local starts in Kindergarten action where she was taking on some
tough fillies. This actually ends up
as a much softer spot, no reason she shouldn’t make it 3 in a row.
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6
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Omnipotent
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($30k
HB yearling) I was all over her last time and she made an untimely break as
the fav. Appears to have a big shot
behind the fav in here if she minds her manners.
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7
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Ballet
Slippers
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($75k
HB yearling) Didn’t have much pop down the lane last time, and has yet to
prove that she packs the stamina to hang with this bunch. I’ll pass for now.
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8
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Déjà
vu Too
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($40k
Lex yearling) Speaking of Déjà vu, how many times can this filly draw an
outside post?? Lands on the far
outside again here, but her best effort should put her right in the mix
against this crew.
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$10,000 Guaranteed Pick 4
Races 6 – 9
Race 6 – 4, 5, 7, 8
Race 7 – 1, 3, 8
Race 8 – 4, 11
Race 9 – 2, 4
Total Ticket Cost - $48
LOCK OF THE NIGHT: RACE 3 #4 POWER PACK HANOVER (6-5 ML)
LONGSHOT OF THE NIGHT: RACE 6 #8 PUMP ME UP
(6-1 ML)
HAVE FUN – WIN MONEY!
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